Mixc (1209.HK) stock forecast 2027–2029
What is the Mixc (1209.HK) stock forecast?
Our forecast for Mixc
HK$37.76by November 2027
HK$42.43by November 2029
From HK$41.64 at the November 6, 2026 close, that is a 7 % loss by 2027 and an 11 % gain by 2029, dividends included.
It blends three cases for November 2027, HK$ per share:
- Bear28.5828 % chance
- Base39.0552 % chance
- Bull47.2520 % chance
Our own forecast, built from Mixc's filings. It is not an average of analysts' price targets, so it can differ from them.
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Executive summary + 8 chapters · 19,082 words · 113 sources
Mixc (1209.HK) key numbers
Dividend yield is a year of dividends as a share of the price.
- 2.9 %dividend yield
- RMB 9.22 billionrevenue in the quarter to Jun 2026, +8 % on a year earlier
Prices and ratios: our report, at the November 6, 2026 close. Revenue: the company's own figures.
Where could Mixc's shares be by November 2029?
The weighted forecast sees limited near-term upside, followed by a modest positive return by November 2029. The weighted price is HK$37.76 in November 2027, a 7% loss including dividends. It rises to HK$39.59 in November 2028, a 1% gain, and reaches HK$42.43 in November 2029, an 11% gain.
The third-year range is wide: HK$25.36 in the bear case to HK$65.17 in the bull case, against today’s HK$41.64. The base case has the highest probability at 52%, because strong commercial operations are offset by weaker property-management economics. The bear case has 28%, and the bull case has 20%.
What has to go right for Mixc, and what could go wrong?
The base path assumes measured commercial growth, gradual margin improvement and weaker property-management profit growth, with no acquisition uplift. Commercial revenue grew 13.2% in the latest half-year, same-mall sales rose 10.2%, and occupancy reached 97.4%. The bear path gives CNY4,442m in year one and CNY4,547m in year two. It reaches CNY4,692m in year three because delayed openings, weak demand and collection pressure restrain margins. The bull path starts at CNY5,246m and reaches CNY5,984m in year two. It reaches CNY6,844m in year three if openings, contracts, collections and proceeds all perform.
The bear case requires weaker consumer spending, delayed mall openings and continued pressure on property-fee collection. Property-management gross profit grew only 0.6% in the latest half-year, while residential collection was 74.7%. The shares fall to HK$28.58 in the first year and HK$25.36 by the last date. Its 28% probability reflects visible operating risks, but high occupancy and same-mall sales prevent it from becoming the central case.
Bull case, 20 % chance: if it goes right
HK$65.17 by November 2029, +68 % with dividends.
Bear case, 28 % chance: if it goes wrong
HK$25.36 by November 2029, −33 % with dividends.
How much cash does Mixc really make?
Cash from operations was RMB4.08 billion in 2025, compared with shareholder profit of RMB3.97 billion. After capital spending and lease payments, stated free cash flow was RMB3.64 billion, equal to about 92% of shareholder profit. This is strong conversion, although acquisitions and maintenance spending can require cash outside that calculation.
Mixc earnings: how did the last quarter go?
Questions about Mixc (1209.HK) stock
Where will Mixc stock be in 5 years?
Our report's forecast goes to November 2029. By then it puts the shares between HK$25.36 in the bear case and HK$65.17 in the bull case, and at HK$42.43 with the three cases weighted by their chances. It makes no forecast past November 2029.
Does Mixc pay a dividend?
Yes. At the November 6, 2026 close, a year of dividends came to 2.9 % of the share price (our report). Mixc dividend →
Why is this forecast different from analysts' price targets?
Analysts' price targets average the share prices that brokerage analysts expect. Our report builds its own three cases from Mixc's filings, gives each a chance and counts dividends.
More on Mixc (1209.HK)
More Mixc pages
Mixc's own filings
This page gives the forecast. The report gives the reasons.
The full report: an executive summary and 8 chapters, 19,082 words, 52 tables. Its first page opens here, no account needed.
How it is made: AI reads Mixc's filings, writes the report, checks the numbers against them and cites each source, 113 in this one. How we work · Corrections
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Information only, not investment advice. The forecast gives three cases with their chances; it promises no price. Prices are those of the date shown.