Research memoStanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) · NYSEMemo of October 24, 2026By Olivier Lachance

SWK dividend

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: SWK pays a rising dividend per share, but its cash coverage has been uneven. Free cash flow covers dividends only after considering working capital, investment and debt needs.

3.30
Dividend paid per share, Jan 2026
3.4%
Dividend yield
0.0%
Buyback yield
Read the full SWK memoYour first S&P 500 report is free · no card
Every number traced to SWK's filings8 chapters · 19,574 words238 sources cited

How much does SWK pay in dividends over time?

SWK (SWK) dividend per share: $2.88 paid in Jan 2022, $3.30 in Jan 2026; our forecast: $3.48 in Oct 2029; dividend yield 3.4 %
Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (US$)2.88Jan 20222.9820223.2220233.2520243.30Jan 2026Dividends paid, per share

Dividends rise from $3.40 to $3.48 per share in the base case. The bear case freezes the dividend at $3.36, while the bull case reaches $3.64. The base continues the historical pattern of increases from $2.98 per share in 2021 to $3.30 in 2025, but the freeze recognizes that first-half free cash flow was $250.9M against an annual dividend run rate of about $507M.

ResultsUS$ millions
Jan 2026202420232022Jan 2022
Dividend per share3.303.263.223.182.98

How much would SWK's dividend pay you?

$10,000 invested in SWK at its 3.4% dividend yield (our report of October 24, 2026) pays $340.00 in the first year, before tax. If its dividend per share keeps changing 3.5% a year, as it did from Jan 2022 to Jan 2026, and the dividends are reinvested, year 10 pays $652.27, with $4,775.32 received in all.

$

$340.00
First-year dividend income
$652.27
Dividend income in year 10
$4,775.32
Total dividends received

Before tax. Past dividend growth is not a promise. Information only, not investment advice.

Does SWK's dividend fit its free cash flow?

Free cash flow also excludes dividends, acquisitions and debt service. Approximately $501 million of FY2025 dividends left only about $187 million before other financing uses. Cash then determines how much debt the balance sheet can safely carry.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentUS$ millions
Jan 2026202420232022Jan 2022
− Dividends paid500.6491.2482.6465.8474.8
− Share buybacks0002,300.00
− Acquisitions0071.92,043.8
− Debt repaid850.51,056.91,044.72,638.11.5
= Net debt5,583.65,812.56,727.57,061.46,453.9
Paid to shareholders500.6491.2482.62,765.8474.8

What this means. In 2023, the money from selling assets was partly offset by a cash payment related to selling a business, so the listed amount is the net cash received.

What could change SWK's dividend?

The next report, scheduled for November 4, 2026, is the first checkpoint for whether Q2 volume and margin gains persist. The view moves toward the bear case if weak end-user demand and retailer restocking reduce volume during 2027–2029.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Normal operating profit1,205 (852 / 1,380)1,275 (950 / 1,544)1,377 (1,044 / 1,723)
Shares (millions)150.5 (152 / 149)150 (153 / 148)149 (153 / 146)
Dividends per share3.40 (3.36 / 3.40)3.44 (3.36 / 3.52)3.48 (3.36 / 3.64)
Net debt3,925 (4,108 / 3,934)3,622 (3,971 / 3,625)3,231 (3,854 / 3,166)

What is SWK's dividend yield at today's price?

At $99.24 a share on the October 24, 2026 valuation snapshot, the market values all SWK shares at $14,986.9 million. Enterprise value is $19,152.4 million because the business carries more financing claims than cash. The CAM sale changed this calculation because Howmet paid SWK, which then reduced debt and repurchased shares.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) sells the tools, outdoor equipment and fastening systems used to build, repair and maintain things. Its business is a dollar’s journey: a user wants a product, a retailer or industrial customer orders it, and SWK pays to make and move it before keeping what remains.

Continue reading, free
Your first S&P 500 report is free · no card

Where these numbers come from

More on SWK

SWK stock forecastSWK earningsAuf DeutschDividend calculator

Its rivals

TTI (0669.HK)Deere (DE)Snap-on (SNA)ITW (ITW)

Browse

All stocksS&P 500 companiesCompanies S
The full SWK memoYour first S&P 500 report is free
Read it