Research memoPG&E Corporation (PCG) · NYSEMemo of October 23, 2026By Olivier Lachance

PG&E dividend

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: PG&E paid $220 million in dividends during 2025, after $86 million in 2024, and the board doubled the quarterly common dividend to 5 cents a share in December 2025. In 2025, PG&E spent more on capital projects than its operations generated, producing negative free cash flow.

0.10 US$ per share, except percentages
Dividend paid per share, 2025
1.5%
Dividend yield
-10.9%
Real free cash flow yield
-10.4%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to PG&E's filings8 chapters · 23,198 words245 sources cited

How much does PG&E pay its shareholders?

PG&E (PCG) dividend per share: $0.00 paid in 2021, $0.10 in 2025; our forecast: $0.24 in Oct 2029; dividend yield 1.5 %

Dividends returned as the physical program continued. PG&E paid $220 million in dividends during 2025, after $86 million in 2024, and the board doubled the quarterly common dividend to 5 cents a share in December 2025. The payments remain small beside construction needs, but they compete with debt reduction and investment. PG&E produced tangible safety work and a larger system; it has not yet shown that the system can fund all of that investment and its distributions from internal cash. The real test is the risk removed and service gained per dollar—not the size of the spending alone.

What one share getsUS$ per share, except percentages
20252024202320222021
Free cash flow per share-1.39-1.09-2.32-2.75-2.73
− Dividends paid, per share0.100.040.000.000.00
− Share buybacks, per share0.000.000.000.000.00
= Paid out more than FCF, per share1.501.132.332.782.73

Does PG&E’s cash cover its dividend?

Construction is the central fact. In 2025, PG&E spent more on capital projects than its operations generated, producing negative free cash flow. Deducting stock compensation makes the ownership cost more visible because shares issued to employees dilute other shareholders. The deficit widened as capital spending rose faster than operating cash.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentUS$ millions
20252024202320222021
Free cash flow-3,071-2,334-4,967-5,863-5,427
− Dividends paid22086000
− Share buybacks00000
= Paid out more than the free cash flow3,3052,4344,9815,9335,427
= Cash fell by320
Paid out, % of free cash flownot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful

What this means. The company’s negative free cash flow means it spent more cash than its business generated, so it used borrowing and other cash sources to cover its payouts and investments.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (US$ per share, except percentages)0.00-2.7620210.00-2.8020220.00-2.3720230.04-1.1320240.10-1.462025Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share

What could change PG&E’s dividend?

The dividend stays at $0.20 per share in 2027, matching the current annualized rate from the latest $0.05 quarterly payment. The base rises to $0.22 in 2028 and $0.24 in 2029. The bear remains flat because free cash flow has been negative, while the bull reaches $0.28 if recovery and funding improve.

A negative wildfire prudency ruling or delayed recovery between November 2026 and October 2027 would move the forecast toward the bear case by hurting earnings, cash flow and the multiple.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings3,860 (3,450 / 4,060)4,150 (3,400 / 4,400)4,400 (3,500 / 4,800)
Shares (millions)2,207 (2,207 / 2,205)2,279 (2,389 / 2,271)2,283 (2,393 / 2,275)
Dividends per share0.20 (0.20 / 0.20)0.22 (0.20 / 0.24)0.24 (0.20 / 0.28)
Price to earnings9.00 (7.00 / 11.00)9.00 (6.00 / 13.00)9.50 (5.50 / 15.00)
From the full memo · 1. The business

PG&E sells dependable access to electricity and natural gas, chiefly through the networks that deliver them. PG&E Corporation is the holding company, while Pacific Gas and Electric Company—the Utility—runs the services customers use.

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Where these numbers come from

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