Research memoTarget Corporation (TGT) · NYSEMemo of October 17, 2026

Target earnings date and guidance

Target's next results are expected on November 18, 2026. Watch whether store resets and Beauty Studio lift traffic and sales before markdowns.

November 18, 2026
Next results
26,539
Revenue, quarter to Aug 2026 (US$ millions)
4.11
EPS, diluted, quarter to Aug 2026
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Every number traced to Target's filings8 chapters · 16,643 words184 sources cited

What has Target guided for fiscal 2026?

Management guides to 5.0% net sales growth and a 6.0% operating margin for fiscal 2026. It forecasts diluted EPS of $9.90–$10.90, including $1.65 per share from Q2 tariff refunds. It plans $5,000 million of capital spending and $1,000 million of incremental operating investment. It also plans 30 new stores and 130 full remodels.

Revenue by quarter (US$ millions)25,668Nov 202430,915Feb 202523,846May 202525,211Aug 202525,270Nov 202530,453Jan 202625,443May 202626,539Aug 2026Revenue
Guidance in forceUS$ millions
Period guidedLowHighDate given
Full-year net sales growthFiscal 20265.0%5.0%Aug 19, 2026
Full-year 2026 operating income margin rateFiscal 20266.0%6.0%Aug 19, 2026
GAAP diluted earnings per share guidanceFiscal 20269.9010.90Aug 19, 2026
Second quarter tariff refund benefits per share included in guidanceFiscal 20261.651.65Aug 19, 2026
CapExFiscal 20265,0005,000Aug 19, 2026
New storesFiscal 20263030Mar 11, 2026

What do Target's last eight quarters show?

The quarter ended August 1, 2026 shows a genuine sales rebound, but its profit surge was heavily assisted by a tariff refund.

The last eight quartersUS$ millions
Aug 2026May 2026Jan 2026Nov 2025Aug 2025May 2025Feb 2025Nov 2024
Revenue26,53925,44330,45325,27025,21123,84630,91525,668
Gross margin33.7%29.0%26.6%28.2%29.0%28.2%26.2%28.3%
Operating income2,5601,1351,3809481,3171,4721,4671,168
Net income1,8777811,0466899351,0361,103854
EPS, diluted4.111.712.301.512.052.272.411.85

What this means. Free cash flow can be negative even when the company earns a profit because it subtracts cash spent on equipment and buildings.

What should I watch in Target's next results?

At the next Q3 call, investors should ask whether store resets and Beauty Studio are increasing traffic and turning visits into purchases. Home and apparel still need work, and a merchandise reset may take time to show up in sales. The sharper test is whether new products sell before markdowns and whether stores remain in stock.

Finally, shareholder litigation over ESG disclosures and an open federal tax audit covering 2021–2024 could affect cash or earnings, though no likely amount is established. The complete test is simple: can Target’s stores and digital channels produce enough recurring cash to fund investment, dividends and debt while the temporary refund disappears?

From the full memo · 1. The business

Target Corporation is a U.S. retailer that sells everyday necessities and more style-led goods through stores and digital channels. It earns most of its money from merchandise, then adds income from advertising, marketplace commissions, memberships, partners and a credit-card arrangement.

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Where these numbers come from

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