Research memoThe Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO) · TSXMemo of October 10, 2026

TD earnings date and guidance

TD's next results are expected on December 3, 2026. The one thing to watch is whether TD's earnings withstand credit losses and continuing remediation costs.

December 3, 2026
Next results
16,885
Revenue, quarter to Quarter to Jul 2026 (C$ millions)
2.74
EPS, diluted, quarter to Quarter to Jul 2026
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Every number traced to TD's filings8 chapters · 19,428 words204 sources cited

What has TD guided for the coming year?

Management targets 16% adjusted ROE—return on equity, or profit against shareholders’ money—and 7–10% adjusted EPS growth by fiscal 2029. It targets a 40–50% dividend payout range.

Credit costs ease, but do not return to pandemic-era lows. Management’s FY2026 PCL guidance is 40–50 basis points. Impaired loans fell from C$5,594M to C$5,143M, while quarterly provisions fell to C$917M. The base steps down from 0.48% to 0.40%; the bear peaks at 0.72%; the bull reaches 0.34%. The bear remains credible because write-offs were still above the prior year and household borrowers face mortgage-payment increases.

Revenue by quarter (C$ millions)15,514Quarter to Oct 202414,049Quarter to Jan 202522,937Quarter to Apr 202515,297Quarter to Jul 202515,494Quarter to Oct 202516,585Quarter to Jan 202615,797Quarter to Apr 202616,885Quarter to Jul 2026Revenue
Targets and guidance in force
The period it coversLowHighThe date it was given
Adj. Expense GrowthFiscal 20263.0%4.0%Aug 27, 2026
Adj. ROE (medium-term)Fiscal 202916.0%16.0%Aug 27, 2026
Adj. EPS Growth (medium-term)Fiscal 20297.0%10.0%Aug 27, 2026
Dividend Payout RatioFiscal 202940.0%50.0%Aug 27, 2026
PCL RatioFiscal 20264050Aug 27, 2026
Annualized savingsMedium-term22.5Sep 29, 2025

Did TD keep its repurchase promise?

Chun promised approximately C$8 billion in repurchases, and TD announced completion of that program on January 16, 2026. Management kept that capital-return promise. Its harder promise is lasting control repair, which must survive outside scrutiny. TD is therefore partly on shareholders’ side in its ownership exposure and returned capital, but the board must still prove that pay and oversight match the risks left by the AML failures.

What is TD's revenue and profit trend?

Net interest income rose in every quarter from January 2025 through July 2026. Reported profit was less smooth because the Schwab sale and restructuring charges moved through earnings. July’s reported income growth of 38.3% therefore exceeded adjusted growth of about 21%.

The last eight quartersC$ millions
Quarter to Jul 2026Quarter to Apr 2026Quarter to Jan 2026Quarter to Oct 2025Quarter to Jul 2025Quarter to Apr 2025Quarter to Jan 2025Quarter to Oct 2024
Revenue16,88515,79716,58515,49415,29722,93714,04915,514
Net interest income9,2968,8618,7898,5458,5268,1257,8667,940
Net income4,6154,2514,0433,2803,33611,1292,7933,635
EPS, diluted2.742.432.341.821.896.271.551.97
Net interest margin1.9%1.9%1.9%1.8%1.8%1.8%1.7%1.7%

What should you watch in TD's next results?

TD’s next results call is scheduled for December 3, 2026. It will provide a full-year check on earnings, expenses and credit losses, while clarifying how much productivity improvement is financing new investment.

From the full memo · 1. The business

The Toronto-Dominion Bank is a Canadian bank that helps households and businesses hold, move, borrow, invest and protect money. Its business looks simple from the outside, but its earnings depend on what customers pay, what funding costs, and what risks appear later.

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