Research memoSanofi (SAN.PA) · PARMemo of October 31, 2026By Olivier Lachance

Sanofi dividend: cash coverage and yield

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: Sanofi's forecast dividend rises from €4.33 in 2027 to €4.78 in 2029. Sanofi's 2025 free cash flow was €8.466 billion, but dividends and buybacks exceeded that year's free cash flow.

3.89
Dividend paid per share, 2025
5.2%
Dividend yield
8.5%
Real free cash flow yield
8.8%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Sanofi's filings8 chapters · 21,485 words209 sources cited

How much does Sanofi pay per share?

Sanofi (SAN.PA) dividend per share: €3.19 paid in 2021, €3.89 in 2025; our forecast: €4.78 in Oct 2029; dividend yield 5.2 %

The base dividend rises from €4.33 in 2027 to €4.55 in 2028, then €4.78. This follows roughly 5% annual growth, close to the recent record and management’s progressive-dividend commitment. The bear case holds at €4.12 before cutting to €3.71. The bull case rises from €4.41 to €5.05 because stronger cash generation supports faster increases. Operating cash flow was €10.56 billion in 2025, but higher debt and competing investment limit certainty.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; EUR millions, per share in EUR, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings11,564 (9,940 / 12,241)12,407 (9,813 / 13,754)13,047 (9,571 / 15,339)
Shares (millions)1,192 (1,204 / 1,184)1,183 (1,207 / 1,169)1,174 (1,210 / 1,153)
Dividends per share4.33 (4.12 / 4.41)4.55 (4.12 / 4.72)4.78 (3.71 / 5.05)

How much would Sanofi's dividend pay you?

€10,000 invested in Sanofi at its 5.2% dividend yield (our report of October 31, 2026) pays €520.00 in the first year, before tax. If its dividend per share keeps changing 5.1% a year, as it did from 2021 to 2025, and the dividends are reinvested, year 10 pays €1,418.96, with €8,881.57 received in all.

€

€520.00
First-year dividend income
€1,418.96
Dividend income in year 10
€8,881.57
Total dividends received

Before tax. Past dividend growth is not a promise. Information only, not investment advice.

Does Sanofi's cash cover its dividend?

After capital spending and lease payments, calculated free cash flow was €8.466 billion. Deducting €313 million of stock pay gives €8.153 billion, recognising that employees received something of value even though it was not a cash payment in the period. Sanofi’s own free-cash-flow measure was €8.089 billion because it uses a different reconciliation.

Shareholder payments were the most consistent destination. Dividends rose over the period, while buybacks surged in 2025. Together, dividends and buybacks exceeded that year’s free cash flow. Sanofi could cover the difference with cash already held, proceeds from selling Opella and new borrowing, but that makes future investment performance more important.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentEUR millions
20252024202320222021
Free cash flow8,4666,5927,3997,829
− Dividends paid4,7724,7044,4544,1684,008
− Share buybacks5,030302593497382
= Free cash flow not paid out1,5482,2963,067
= Paid out more than the free cash flow1,374
Paid out, % of free cash flow115.8%75.9%68.2%59.6%

What this means. The company's net debt is higher than our count because it includes debt and cash hedging contracts, while our count leaves out those contracts and lease obligations.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (EUR per share)3.1920213.326.0420223.555.6820233.745.0320243.896.652025Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share

What could change Sanofi's dividend?

The view would move toward the bear case during 2027–2029 if Dupixent patient growth or net pricing disappoints, or if launches fail to offset erosion. Weak cash conversion, higher debt and slower buybacks would add pressure.

What is Sanofi's dividend yield today?

What an investor pays todayEUR millions; per share in EUR
Today (Oct 31, 2026)
Share price79.74
P/E, last 12 months (calculated)23.0x
Free cash flow yield (calculated)8.8%
Dividend yield (calculated)5.2%

What this means. The 8.7 price-to-earnings figure uses analysts’ guesses about next year’s profit, so it is not guaranteed.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Sanofi is a French healthcare company whose business is to turn medicines and vaccines into paid treatments around the world. To understand how a dollar comes in and goes out, follow one product from scientific design to prescription, payment, manufacturing and the partners who share the result.

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Where these numbers come from

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