Research memoMarathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) · NYSEMemo of October 14, 2026

MPC earnings date and guidance

MPC's next results are expected on November 3, 2026. Watch whether throughput, routine costs, turnaround expense and cash after working-capital changes match guidance.

November 3, 2026
Next results
52,337
Revenue, quarter to Jun 2026 (US$ millions)
17.73
EPS, diluted, quarter to Jun 2026
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Every number traced to MPC's filings8 chapters · 17,584 words218 sources cited

What has MPC guided for 2026?

MPC’s capital outlook, excluding MPLX, is $1.5 billion. About 65.0% targets value-enhancing projects and 35.0% supports existing operations, which means management is improving the refinery network without planning a major expansion of capacity.

MPLX carries the larger growth plan. Its growth capital outlook is $2.9 billion, with at least 90.0% directed toward natural gas and natural gas liquids infrastructure. NGLs are liquids such as propane and butane recovered alongside natural gas. Management expects those investments to support 12.5% annual distribution growth in each of the next two years.

The near-term operating test is refinery execution. MPC guided throughput of 3,005 thousand barrels a day at routine refining costs of $5.60 per barrel for the third quarter. It separately allowed $290 million for turnarounds, planned shutdowns for major maintenance. A plant can meet its volume target while losing cash through repair costs and lost production.

Revenue by quarter (US$ millions)35,373Sep 202433,466Dec 202431,850Mar 202534,101Jun 202535,849Sep 202533,422Dec 202534,568Mar 202652,337Jun 2026Revenue
Guidance in forceUS$; scale and operating units in row labels
The period guidedLowHighThe date it was given
MPC capital spending outlook (excluding MPLX) (US$ billions)FY 20261.51.5Aug 4, 2026
Value-enhancing investments (% of MPC capital spending)FY 202665.0%65.0%Aug 4, 2026
Sustaining operations (% of MPC capital spending)FY 202635.0%35.0%Aug 4, 2026
MPLX growth capital spending outlook (US$ billions)FY 20262.92.9Aug 4, 2026
Organic growth capital toward natural gas and NGL infrastructure (%)FY 202690.0%Aug 4, 2026
MPLX annual distribution growth (%)FY 2026 and FY 202712.5%12.5%Aug 4, 2026

What this means. The company expects at least 90% of its organic growth spending to support natural gas and natural gas liquids infrastructure, so the upper amount is left blank because there is no stated maximum.

What has MPC's revenue and profit trend been over the last eight quarters?

Second-quarter 2026 was a powerful refining-margin quarter. Revenue reached $52,337 million, up 53.5% from the prior-year quarter. Diluted EPS rose from $3.96 to $17.73.

The main change was value earned per refining barrel. Refining & Marketing margin rose from $17.58 to $36.33 per barrel. Utilization was 94%, compared with 97% a year earlier, so the earnings surge did not require a matching increase in plant activity.

The last eight quartersUS$ millions
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue52,33734,56833,42235,84934,10131,85033,46635,373
Gross margin17.7%9.6%13.6%13.0%12.0%7.8%8.7%9.1%
Operating income7,3221,4042,6942,7132,1976871,1411,349
Net income5,1385111,5351,3701,216-74371622
EPS, diluted17.731.735.124.513.96-0.241.151.87
= Free cash flow9,1412081,8881,6621,944-7271,3971,033
From the full memo · 1. The business

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, or MPC, is a large fuel and infrastructure business. It buys crude oil, turns it into fuels and materials, and moves hydrocarbons to customers.

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Where these numbers come from

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