MPC earnings date and guidance
MPC's next results are expected on November 3, 2026. Watch whether throughput, routine costs, turnaround expense and cash after working-capital changes match guidance.
What has MPC guided for 2026?
MPC’s capital outlook, excluding MPLX, is $1.5 billion. About 65.0% targets value-enhancing projects and 35.0% supports existing operations, which means management is improving the refinery network without planning a major expansion of capacity.
MPLX carries the larger growth plan. Its growth capital outlook is $2.9 billion, with at least 90.0% directed toward natural gas and natural gas liquids infrastructure. NGLs are liquids such as propane and butane recovered alongside natural gas. Management expects those investments to support 12.5% annual distribution growth in each of the next two years.
The near-term operating test is refinery execution. MPC guided throughput of 3,005 thousand barrels a day at routine refining costs of $5.60 per barrel for the third quarter. It separately allowed $290 million for turnarounds, planned shutdowns for major maintenance. A plant can meet its volume target while losing cash through repair costs and lost production.
| The period guided | Low | High | The date it was given | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPC capital spending outlook (excluding MPLX) (US$ billions) | FY 2026 | 1.5 | 1.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Value-enhancing investments (% of MPC capital spending) | FY 2026 | 65.0% | 65.0% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Sustaining operations (% of MPC capital spending) | FY 2026 | 35.0% | 35.0% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| MPLX growth capital spending outlook (US$ billions) | FY 2026 | 2.9 | 2.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Organic growth capital toward natural gas and NGL infrastructure (%) | FY 2026 | 90.0% | Aug 4, 2026 | |
| MPLX annual distribution growth (%) | FY 2026 and FY 2027 | 12.5% | 12.5% | Aug 4, 2026 |
What this means. The company expects at least 90% of its organic growth spending to support natural gas and natural gas liquids infrastructure, so the upper amount is left blank because there is no stated maximum.
What has MPC's revenue and profit trend been over the last eight quarters?
Second-quarter 2026 was a powerful refining-margin quarter. Revenue reached $52,337 million, up 53.5% from the prior-year quarter. Diluted EPS rose from $3.96 to $17.73.
The main change was value earned per refining barrel. Refining & Marketing margin rose from $17.58 to $36.33 per barrel. Utilization was 94%, compared with 97% a year earlier, so the earnings surge did not require a matching increase in plant activity.
| Jun 2026 | Mar 2026 | Dec 2025 | Sep 2025 | Jun 2025 | Mar 2025 | Dec 2024 | Sep 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 52,337 | 34,568 | 33,422 | 35,849 | 34,101 | 31,850 | 33,466 | 35,373 |
| Gross margin | 17.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% |
| Operating income | 7,322 | 1,404 | 2,694 | 2,713 | 2,197 | 687 | 1,141 | 1,349 |
| Net income | 5,138 | 511 | 1,535 | 1,370 | 1,216 | -74 | 371 | 622 |
| EPS, diluted | 17.73 | 1.73 | 5.12 | 4.51 | 3.96 | -0.24 | 1.15 | 1.87 |
| = Free cash flow | 9,141 | 208 | 1,888 | 1,662 | 1,944 | -727 | 1,397 | 1,033 |