Research memoHiscox Ltd (HSX.L) · LSEMemo of October 29, 2026By Olivier Lachance

Hiscox dividend: payout, cash cover and yield

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: The forecast shows Hiscox's dividend rising from $0.58 to $0.70 per share in the base case. Hiscox's operating cash flow was only $72.8 million against $732.7 million of pre-tax profit in 2025, so reported profit and distributable cash answer different questions.

2.1%
Dividend yield
3.5%
Buyback yield
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Every number traced to Hiscox's filings8 chapters · 19,473 words171 sources cited

How much does Hiscox pay per share over the years shown?

Hiscox (HSX.L) dividend per share, our forecast: $0.58 in Oct 2027, $0.70 in Oct 2029; dividend yield 2.1 %

Dividends rise from $0.58 to $0.70 per share in the base case. The path is slower than the latest interim increase because Hiscox has no payout target and must preserve capital. The bear case pauses at $0.52 before a small recovery, while the bull case reaches $0.77 if earnings and solvency remain strong; management estimated a 210% capital ratio after planned distributions.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings578 (484 / 655)696 (492 / 808)761 (519 / 914)
Shares (millions)311 (318 / 306)305 (320 / 297)299 (322 / 288)
Dividends per share0.58 (0.52 / 0.60)0.64 (0.52 / 0.68)0.70 (0.54 / 0.77)
Price to earnings11.00 (8.00 / 13.00)11.00 (7.00 / 14.00)10.00 (7.00 / 14.00)

Does Hiscox's cash flow cover its dividend?

Operating cash flow was only $72.8 million against $732.7 million of pre-tax profit in 2025. The apparent weakness reflects the way an insurer works. It receives premiums, invests them in bonds, sells or matures those investments, and later pays claims. Those investment transactions are classified as operating cash flows, so they can make cash conversion look volatile.

Follow the money: what it earns and gives backUS$ millions; shares in millions
20252024202320222021
Net income604.1627.2712.0253.9189.5
= Earnings for common shareholders604.1627.2712.0253.9189.5
− Dividends paid on ordinary shares149.4130.8126.1120.539.4
− Share buybacks275.7149.1000
= Kept to grow and build capital179.0347.3585.9133.4150.1
Paid out, % of earnings for common70.4%44.6%17.7%47.5%20.8%

What could change Hiscox's dividend?

By 2028, the key test is whether the change programme reaches its promised annual benefit. Catastrophe losses or adverse reserves could reduce solvency headroom in any year through October 2029, lowering buybacks and valuation.

What is Hiscox's dividend yield against its share price?

Today’s valuation assumes that Hiscox can earn more than the cost of the capital it must hold.

What an investor pays today£ millions; share price in pence
Today (Oct 28, 2026)
Share price1,844.0
Market value (calculated)5,858.3
P/E, last 12 months (calculated)12.9x
Price to book (calculated)2.0x
Dividend yield (calculated)2.1%

What this means. The price-to-earnings ratio based on core earnings uses the insurer’s own measure of ongoing profit, so it may differ from the ordinary price-to-earnings ratio.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Hiscox is a specialist insurer: it sells protection against losses to businesses, individuals and other insurers. Its dollar comes in as premiums and fees, then goes out through claims, distribution, reinsurance and operating costs, while invested assets help support the result.

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Where these numbers come from

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Hiscox stock forecast

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