Research memoCanadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC.A.TO) · TSXMemo of October 19, 2026

Canadian Tire dividend: history and cash

Canadian Tire pays an annual dividend of C$7.13 per share in 2025. Canadian Tire's dividend depends on cash surviving investment and financing needs as 2025 cash conversion weakened.

6.64
Dividend paid per share, Jan 2026
3.5%
Dividend yield
4.4%
Buyback yield
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Every number traced to Canadian Tire's filings8 chapters · 16,066 words133 sources cited

How much does Canadian Tire pay in dividends?

The dividend starts at C$7.20 annualized. The base case reaches C$7.50, consistent with the increase from C$4.83 in 2021 to C$7.13 in 2025. The bear case freezes it at C$7.20 because retail free cash flow fell to C$397.9m and bad-loan losses reached C$517.8m. The bull case reaches C$8.00 if cash generation improves.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (C$ per share, except shares and percentages)4.42Jan 20225.4920226.3920236.4520246.64Jan 2026Dividends paid, per share
What one share getsC$ per share, except shares and percentages
Jan 2026202420232022Jan 2022
EPS, diluted10.5714.913.27
FCF per share — the company's own count7.3121.38
− Dividends paid, per share6.646.456.395.494.42
− Share buybacks, per share8.580.536.667.172.14

What this means. The company's free cash flow per share is an adjusted number, not simply the cash left after all spending, and it includes dividends received from its lending business.

Is Canadian Tire's dividend covered by its cash?

That reversal drove most of the fall in available Retail free cash flow, from C$1,192.2 million in 2024 to C$397.9 million in 2025. The company’s bridge includes capital spending, lease payments and distributions from Financial Services and CT REIT, so it measures cash available to Retail from the wider system rather than simple consolidated operating cash flow.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentC$ millions, without Financial Services
Jan 2026202420232022Jan 2022
− Paid to minority owners76.970.3142.1143.0103.5
− Dividends paid361.7359.8360.8325.8271.1
− Share buybacks467.229.8376.1425.4131.1
Cash and short-term investments174.4172.985.6102.0707.6
− Total debt951.51,150.82,075.9979.11,009.9
Paid to shareholders828.9389.6736.9751.2402.2

What this means. The company's own net debt is lower because it subtracts long-term investments and uses a different cash allocation than our calculation.

What could change Canadian Tire's dividend?

The August 13, 2026 reduction in the operating-capital forecast showed tighter capital allocation. If that discipline produces savings without weakening store productivity, the base case gains support. If transformation costs continue without measurable returns, earnings and the multiple move lower. True North promised more than C$2bn of investment and C$100m of annualized savings, so delivery against those commitments matters.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; CAD millions, per share in CAD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings778 (653 / 814)810 (643 / 882)843 (632 / 937)
Shares (millions)51.40 (52.40 / 51.00)50.60 (52.60 / 49.80)49.80 (52.80 / 48.60)
Dividends per share7.30 (7.20 / 7.40)7.40 (7.20 / 7.70)7.50 (7.20 / 8.00)
Price to earnings15.00 (13.00 / 17.00)15.00 (11.50 / 18.50)15.00 (10.00 / 20.00)

What yield does Canadian Tire's dividend offer today?

Book value is also imperfect for a group whose assets include stores, property and loyalty relationships. The dividend is more tangible, but it remains valuable only if cash survives investment and financing needs.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Canadian Tire Corporation is more than the red-triangle retailer: it combines stores, automotive service, consumer lending and property ownership. To understand how a dollar comes in and goes out, follow it through the group’s customers, Dealers, suppliers, employees, funders and buildings.

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Where these numbers come from

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Canadian Tire stock forecastCanadian Tire earnings

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