Research memoCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM.TO) · TSXMemo of October 13, 2026

CIBC dividend

CIBC paid C$3.86 per share in fiscal 2025. CIBC’s C$13,838 million of operating cash flow was shaped by deposits and lending, so it does not by itself show that the dividend is covered by cash.

2.8%
Dividend yield
1.2%
Buyback yield
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Every number traced to CIBC's filings8 chapters · 16,483 words166 sources cited

How much does CIBC pay in dividends?

Revenue reached C$29,133 million in fiscal 2025. PCL reached C$2,342 million, up from C$158 million in 2021. Efficiency improved to 54.4% in 2025 from 61.5% in 2023. NIM was 1.6% and ROE 14.3%; the test is whether credit costs let that return endure. EPS was C$8.57; dividends were C$3.86 per share and buybacks C$1.84 per share. At 15.0x trailing P/E and 2.4x price-to-book, the book premium depends on durable returns. The 2.8% dividend yield depends on earnings, capital and credit costs.

What one share getsC$
Oct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
EPS, diluted8.577.285.176.686.96
− Dividends, per share3.863.593.443.262.91
− Share buybacks, per share1.840.440.000.150.00
= Kept, per share2.883.241.733.274.05

Is CIBC’s dividend covered by its cash?

Fiscal 2025 operating activities generated C$13,838 million. Deposits supplied cash while lending used cash, and provisions and other non-cash items also shaped the total. That figure is not a simple cash-conversion measure.

CIBC invested C$1,109 million in property, equipment, software and other intangible assets. The filings do not cleanly separate maintenance from growth, and many controls and technology costs run through expenses. Rising book value per share and tangible book value show that equity accumulated, but future credit losses could reduce that progress. The final test is whether CIBC can fund investment, absorb realistic losses, preserve its buffers and still distribute capital safely.

Follow the money: what it earns and gives backC$ millions
Oct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
= Earnings for common shareholders8,0656,8524,7346,0496,271
− Dividends declared on common shares3,6293,3823,1492,9542,622
− Share buybacks1,73141901340
= Kept to grow and build capital2,7053,0511,5852,9613,649
Paid out, % of earnings for common66.5%55.5%66.5%51.0%41.8%

What could change CIBC’s dividend?

Dividends rise gradually in the base case, from 4.56 per share to 4.92 and then 5.31. The bear case holds at 4.28 in each period because the current 1.07 quarterly dividend is maintained without an increase. The bull case reaches 4.64, 5.10 and 5.61 as earnings and capital generation strengthen. The base follows roughly 8% annual growth, consistent with management’s EPS ambition and its 40%–50% payout target. CIBC raised fiscal-year dividends from 2.92 in 2021 to 3.88 in 2025, but rising impaired loans argue against assuming uninterrupted increases.

The base case would gain support if EPS growth remains within management’s 7%–10% ambition, operating leverage stays positive and credit costs remain manageable. Continued dividends and measured buybacks would confirm that capital generation is supporting per-share growth.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; CAD millions, per share in CAD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Book value61,400 (60,500 / 61,700)65,530 (63,800 / 66,100)70,360 (68,500 / 71,200)
Shares (millions)889 (904 / 885)877 (905 / 869)866 (906 / 854)
Dividends per share4.56 (4.28 / 4.64)4.92 (4.28 / 5.10)5.31 (4.28 / 5.61)
Price to book value2.35 (2.05 / 2.55)2.40 (1.85 / 2.70)2.45 (1.65 / 2.85)
From the full memo · 1. The business

CIBC is a bank: it holds and moves customers’ money, lends money, and helps people and organizations invest. A dollar enters through deposits, borrowing and fees, then leaves through funding costs, expenses, losses and taxes, with what remains becoming profit.

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