Research memoThe Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS.TO) · TSXMemo of October 11, 2026

Scotiabank earnings

Scotiabank's next results are expected on December 2, 2026. Watch whether the expected capital-ratio reduction of approximately 15 basis points reflects a changed capital requirement rather than new losses.

December 2, 2026
Next results
10,535
Revenue, quarter to Jul 2026 (C$ millions)
2.27
EPS, diluted, quarter to Jul 2026
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Every number traced to Scotiabank's filings8 chapters · 18,296 words173 sources cited

What has Scotiabank guided for fiscal 2026?

Management’s fiscal 2028 promises are a 14.0% return on equity and 7.0% annual compounded earnings-per-share growth from fiscal 2023. Return on equity measures profit earned on shareholders’ money. Common Equity Tier 1, or CET1, measures the common capital supporting risk-weighted assets, so it is a safety and growth measure rather than a profitability measure. Scotia’s medium-term CET1 target is 12.0%.

For the year ending October 2026, management expects strong earnings and revenue growth, wider margins, more fee revenue, lower expected loan losses, and modest expense growth excluding divestitures. Canadian Banking and Global Wealth Management should grow strongly, while International Banking excluding divestitures, Global Banking and Markets, and Tangerine should grow more modestly. Those differences matter because the group-wide result may conceal businesses still absorbing investment.

Revenue by quarter (C$ millions)8,526Oct 20249,372Jan 20259,080Apr 20259,486Jul 20259,803Oct 20259,646Jan 20269,837Apr 202610,535Jul 2026Revenue
Targets and guidance in forceC$ millions
Period coveredLowHighDate given
CET1 ratio targetMedium term12.0%2026-08-25
EPS growthFY2023–FY2028 CAGR7.0%2026-08-25
Return on equityFY202814.0%2026-08-25
Operating leverageMedium term2026-08-25
strong earnings growthYear to Oct 20262025-12-02
Strong revenue growth, excluding the impact of divestituresYear to Oct 20262025-12-02

Has Scotiabank kept its return-on-equity promise?

Thomson also made a concrete promise: in December 2024, he reaffirmed a return-on-equity target of at least 14%. Return on equity measures profit against common shareholders’ capital. In the quarter ended July 31, 2026, adjusted return on equity reached 14.2%, while reported return on equity was 14.1%. Strong markets helped, Thomson acknowledged. One quarter shows progress; it does not prove that the result will survive weaker conditions.

What has Scotiabank's revenue and profit trend looked like?

Revenue rose 11.1% year over year, and diluted EPS rose 23.4%. Net interest income increased 6.8%. Canadian lending, cards, insurance, mutual funds, underwriting and advisory work all contributed, so the improvement was broader than simple loan growth.

The latest quarter was cleaner, but credit-loss charges remained above the level of a year earlier. Impaired loans continued to rise, and CET1 declined from April. The evidence supports better operations across several quarters, not an assumption that the loss cycle has ended.

The last eight quartersC$ millions
Jul 2026Apr 2026Jan 2026Oct 2025Jul 2025Apr 2025Jan 2025Oct 2024
Revenue10,5359,8379,6469,8039,4869,0809,3728,526
Net interest income5,8665,5215,5825,5865,4935,2705,1734,923
Net income2,9082,5952,2872,2192,4471,9761,1471,642
EPS, diluted2.272.001.731.651.841.480.661.22
Net interest margin2.5%2.5%2.5%2.4%2.4%2.3%2.2%2.2%
CET1 capital ratio13.1%13.3%13.3%13.2%13.3%13.2%12.9%13.1%

What should investors watch in Scotiabank's next release?

Capital, last eight quarters
Jul 2026Apr 2026Jan 2026Oct 2025Jul 2025Apr 2025Jan 2025Oct 2024
CET1 capital ratio13.1%13.3%13.3%13.2%13.3%13.2%12.9%13.1%
Leverage ratio4.3%4.3%4.4%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.4%4.4%
Liquidity coverage ratio126.0%124.0%122.0%128.0%126.0%131.0%128.0%131.0%
From the full memo · 1. The business

A bank does not mainly sell the money customers place with it; it sells access to payments, credit, investments and financial expertise. Scotiabank turns those relationships into revenue by earning interest, charging fees and managing financial risks.

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