Research memoAtmos Energy Corporation (ATO) · NYSEMemo of October 21, 2026By Olivier Lachance

Atmos Energy dividend: cash flow and outlook

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: Atmos Energy pays $4.00 a year per share, with the board maintaining a quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share. Atmos Energy's accounting earnings cover the dividend, but its negative free cash flow means construction depends on debt and equity funding.

3.45 US$ per share; shares in millions
Dividend paid per share, Sep 2025
2.4%
Dividend yield
-5.4%
Real free cash flow yield
-5.4%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Atmos Energy's filings8 chapters · 17,455 words211 sources cited

How much does Atmos Energy pay per share?

Atmos Energy (ATO) dividend per share: $2.49 paid in Sep 2021, $3.45 in Sep 2025; our forecast: $4.85 in Oct 2029; dividend yield 2.4 %

The model is producing accounting growth. Diluted earnings per share rose from $6.83 in fiscal 2024 to $7.46 in fiscal 2025. On August 5, 2026, the board maintained a quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share. That equals $4.00 annually, so the cash commitment grows alongside the construction program.

What one share getsUS$ per share; shares in millions
Sep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
EPS, diluted7.466.836.105.605.12
− Dividends paid, per share3.453.232.962.722.49
− Share buybacks, per share0.000.000.000.000.00

How much would Atmos Energy's dividend pay you?

$10,000 invested in Atmos Energy at its 2.4% dividend yield (our report of October 21, 2026) pays $240.00 in the first year, before tax. If its dividend per share keeps changing 8.5% a year, as it did from Sep 2021 to Sep 2025, and the dividends are reinvested, year 10 pays $675.19, with $4,182.58 received in all.

$

$240.00
First-year dividend income
$675.19
Dividend income in year 10
$4,182.58
Total dividends received

Before tax. Past dividend growth is not a promise. Information only, not investment advice.

Is Atmos Energy's dividend covered by its cash?

The 2025 gap was large. Free cash flow was -1,511,943 US$ thousands, while dividends consumed 553,761 US$ thousands. Together, payouts exceeded free cash flow by 2,065,704 US$ thousands. Atmos sold 713,739 US$ thousands of new shares and issued 1,143,447 US$ thousands of debt. Net debt rose from 7,213,934 US$ thousands at September 2021 to 8,793,260 US$ thousands at September 2025.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentUS$ thousands
Sep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Free cash flow-1,511,943-1,203,378653,770-1,466,836-3,053,791
− Dividends paid553,761492,950430,345375,914323,904
− Share buybacks00000
= Free cash flow not paid out223,425
= Paid out more than the free cash flow2,065,7041,696,3281,842,7503,377,695

What this means. The company paid shareholders even when it did not generate enough free cash, so it had to use savings or borrow more.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (US$ per share; shares in millions)2.49-23.61Sep 20212.72-10.70Sep 20222.964.43Sep 20233.23-7.95Sep 20243.45-9.50Sep 2025Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share

What could change Atmos Energy's dividend?

Management guides to FY2026 diluted EPS of US$8.40–US$8.50 and capital spending of US$4,200 million. It indicates an annual dividend of US$4.00. For FY2027–2030, it targets annual EPS and dividend-per-share growth of 6%–8%. It also expects 90% of annual capital spending to begin earning within six months.

Dividends begin from the $4.00 annualized payment, which the board maintained in August 2026. The base path reaches $4.85 by October 2029 using management’s 6%–8% target, while the bear case reaches $4.36 on slower growth and the bull case reaches $5.08 on stronger execution. The history of uninterrupted increases and delivered indicated dividends supports growth rather than a cut.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings1,655 (1,513 / 1,678)1,823 (1,682 / 1,862)2,005 (1,867 / 2,068)
Shares (millions)176 (178 / 176)182 (186 / 180)187 (194 / 184)
Dividends per share4.24 (4.12 / 4.32)4.53 (4.24 / 4.69)4.85 (4.36 / 5.08)
Price to earnings18.00 (18.10 / 19.50)18.00 (16.50 / 20.00)18.00 (15.50 / 20.50)

What is Atmos Energy's dividend yield against its price?

P/E means share price divided by annual earnings per share; forward P/E uses estimated future earnings. Atmos trades at 19.9x recent earnings and 18.5x expected earnings. Those multiples imply about $8.40 of recent earnings per share and $9.03 of expected earnings per share. Paying $20 for a shop that earns $1 can be sensible if profits are dependable, but risky if the shop must borrow heavily to expand.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Atmos Energy is a regulated natural-gas utility: it moves fuel through pipes, charges for access, and earns most of its return from the network rather than the gas itself. To understand its business, follow the gas, the bill and the dollars through four questions: what it sells, how it earns, who pays, and what happens when bills become hard to afford.

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Where these numbers come from

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