Research memoAirbus SE (AIR.PA) · PARMemo of October 29, 2026By Olivier Lachance

Airbus dividend

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: Airbus's latest approved payment is €3.20 per share, with the base case rising from €4.20 to €5.00. From 2021 through 2025, free cash flow totalled €15.950 billion against €7.189 billion of dividends, so cash covered the dividend over that period.

3.00 EUR per share
Dividend paid per share, 2025
1.6%
Dividend yield
2.2%
Real free cash flow yield
2.4%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Airbus's filings8 chapters · 21,265 words200 sources cited

How much does Airbus pay per share?

Airbus (AIR.PA) dividend per share: €0.00 paid in 2021, €3.00 in 2025; our forecast: €5.00 in Oct 2029; dividend yield 1.6 %

Dividends rise moderately in the base case, from €4.20 to €5.00, with €4.60 in the middle period. The estimate starts with analyst EPS of €8.66597 and the latest 48% payout reference. The bear holds DPS at €3.20, the latest approved payment, while the bull reaches €4.40, €5.20 and €6.10 as cash conversion improves.

What one share getsEUR per share
20252024202320222021
Free cash flow per share4.724.313.724.522.94
− Dividends paid, per share3.002.801.801.500.00
= FCF not paid out, per share1.721.511.923.022.94

What this means. The company's own free cash flow per share is higher because it uses different rules for adjusting cash, while our count uses cash from running the business minus spending on equipment.

How much would Airbus's dividend pay you?

€10,000 invested in Airbus at its 1.6% dividend yield (our report of October 29, 2026) pays €160.00 in the first year, before tax. If its dividend stays flat and the dividends are reinvested, year 10 pays €184.57, with €1,720.26 received in all.

€

€160.00
First-year dividend income
€184.57
Dividend income in year 10
€1,720.26
Total dividends received

Before tax. Past dividend growth is not a promise. Information only, not investment advice.

Does Airbus's cash cover its dividend?

Free cash flow totalled €15.950 billion from 2021 through 2025, while dividends paid totalled €7.189 billion. The series records no share buybacks during those years. The cash not paid out helped fund factories, acquisitions, securities and debt management.

In 2025 Airbus generated €7.995 billion from operations. After capital spending and lease payments, the table’s free-cash-flow calculation was €3.731 billion; after stock pay, its analytical “real” free cash flow was €3.372 billion. Stock pay is not a cash payment of that amount, but treating it as a cost recognises dilution borne by shareholders.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentEUR millions
20252024202320222021
Free cash flow3,7313,4092,9373,5622,311
− Dividends paid2,3722,2151,4211,1810
− Share buybacks00000
= Free cash flow not paid out1,3571,1931,5162,3802,311
Paid out, % of free cash flow63.6%65.0%48.4%33.2%0.0%
Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (EUR per share)0.002.8320211.504.3620221.803.4820232.803.8720243.004.262025Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share

What could change Airbus's dividend?

Airbus raised the upper end of its dividend policy in 2025. In July 2026, it approved a proposed €5 billion share-buyback programme. The pattern is clear: Airbus invested heavily, strengthened its balance sheet, and then increased distributions as confidence in its cash generation grew.

The bridge assumes Airbus achieves its €4.5 billion 2026 free-cash-flow target after negative nine-month cash flow. Thereafter, the base assumes rising cash generation alongside dividends and buybacks; the bear assumes weaker cash conversion and reduced repurchases, while the bull assumes faster delivery cash.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; EUR millions, per share in EUR, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Normal operating profit8,100 (6,200 / 8,800)9,200 (6,600 / 10,500)10,300 (7,000 / 12,000)
Dividends per share4.20 (3.20 / 4.40)4.60 (3.20 / 5.20)5.00 (3.20 / 6.10)
Net debt-6,255 (-7,384 / -7,096)-7,815 (-9,752 / -9,385)-9,794 (-12,417 / -12,008)
From the full memo · 1. The business

Airbus is a manufacturer whose products range from passenger jets to satellites, but its business is easier to understand as a flow of money around long-lived machines. Customers pay for aircraft and capabilities, Airbus pays suppliers and employees to create them, and support contracts can keep the relationship going for decades.

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Where these numbers come from

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Airbus stock forecastAirbus earningsEn françaisDividend calculator

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