Research memoXylem Inc. (XYL) · NYSEMemo of October 28, 2026By Olivier Lachance

Xylem dividend: cash cover and outlook

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: Xylem's declared dividend is $0.43 quarterly, and its base case raises it to $1.80 in 2027, $1.92 in 2028, and $2.04 in 2029. Xylem's dividend is covered by its $910 million of 2025 free cash flow, while 2026 free cash flow was only $461 million through nine months.

1.60
Dividend paid per share, 2025
1.9%
Dividend yield
4.0%
Real free cash flow yield
4.3%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Xylem's filings8 chapters · 21,662 words193 sources cited

How much does Xylem pay per share over time?

Xylem (XYL) dividend per share: $1.12 paid in 2021, $1.60 in 2025; our forecast: $2.04 in Oct 2029; dividend yield 1.9 %

Base dividends rise from the current annualized rate to $1.80 in 2027 and $1.92 in 2028. They reach $2.04 in 2029. The bear case holds the rate at $1.72 because the board pauses increases. The bull case reaches $2.16. The base reflects five consecutive years of increases and the declared $0.43 quarterly dividend, but moderates future growth because 2026 free cash flow was only $461 million through nine months.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Dividends per share1.80 (1.72 / 1.84)1.92 (1.72 / 2.00)2.04 (1.72 / 2.16)

How much would Xylem's dividend pay you?

$10,000 invested in Xylem at its 1.9% dividend yield (our report of October 28, 2026) pays $190.00 in the first year, before tax. If its dividend per share keeps changing 9.3% a year, as it did from 2021 to 2025, and the dividends are reinvested, year 10 pays $542.80, with $3,347.24 received in all.

$

$190.00
First-year dividend income
$542.80
Dividend income in year 10
$3,347.24
Total dividends received

Before tax. Past dividend growth is not a promise. Information only, not investment advice.

Does Xylem's cash cover its dividend?

Free cash flow is cash from operations less capital spending. In 2025, Xylem generated $910 million of free cash flow, about 95% of net income attributable to Xylem. It represented about 73% of adjusted net income, showing why the choice of profit denominator matters.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentUS$ millions
20252024202320222021
Free cash flow910942566388330
− Dividends paid391350299217203
− Share buybacks0004660
= Free cash flow not paid out51759126712567
Paid out, % of free cash flow43.0%37.2%52.8%67.8%79.7%
Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (US$ per share, except percentages)1.121.6420211.201.9420221.372.3220231.443.6420241.603.512025Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share

What could change Xylem's dividend?

The November 2026 Swedish tax hearing could resolve a SEK 837 million assessment for which Xylem has recorded no liability. Fourth-quarter 2026 results and the February outlook will test whether price and productivity protect margins as project revenue slows. During 2027, treatment projects must convert faster and metering deployments must stabilize before larger awards scheduled for late 2027 and 2028.

What is Xylem's dividend yield today against its price?

Xylem carries a 15.3x next-twelve-month earnings multiple and a 4.3% free-cash-flow yield. Its 1.9% dividend yield sits alongside debt and investment needs. Xylem’s free-cash-flow margin weakened even as reported margins improved; net debt fell through 2025, then rose in 2026 as buybacks and acquisitions used cash.

What an investor pays todayUS$ millions
Today (Oct 28, 2026)
Share price92.86
Free cash flow yield (calculated)4.3%
Real free cash flow yield (calculated)4.0%
Dividend yield (calculated)1.9%

What this means. The next twelve months price-to-earnings ratio uses analysts’ guesses about future profit, so it is not guaranteed.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Xylem is a water-technology company: it sells the equipment, systems, and services that move, treat, measure, and manage water. To understand its business, follow one dollar from a utility, factory, building owner, or contractor into Xylem and then through the costs of making and supporting that water work.

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Where these numbers come from

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