Research memoSkyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS) · NASDAQMemo of October 24, 2026

Skyworks stock forecast 2027–2029

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: Skyworks weighted forecast is $36.66 in October 2027, a 56% loss. Skyworks hinges on mobile content and socket retention.

83.43
Share price today, USD
87.18 (+4 %)
Weighted scenario, October 2029
16.6x
P/E, next 12 months
43.2x
P/E, last 12 months
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Every number traced to Skyworks's filings8 chapters · 21,666 words199 sources cited

Where could Skyworks' shares be by October 2029?

The weighted forecast is $36.66 in October 2027, a 56% loss. It reaches $61.13 in October 2028, a 27% loss. It ends at $87.18 in October 2029, a 4% gain. Bear carries 35% probability and base carries 50%. Bull carries 15%.

Share price in October 2029: our three scenarios (USD)Today 83.4328.54Bear · 35 % · -66%100.56Base · 50 % · +21%179.38Bull · 15 % · +115%
What the shares could be worthUSD per share at each date; in brackets the return since today's 83.43, dividends included
CaseProbabilityOctober 2027October 2028October 2029
Bear35 %13.09 (-84 %)21.55 (-74 %)28.54 (-66 %)
Base50 %42.08 (-50 %)70.61 (-15 %)100.56 (+21 %)
Bull15 %73.61 (-12 %)121.88 (+46 %)179.38 (+115 %)
Weighted100 %36.66 (-56 %)61.13 (-27 %)87.18 (+4 %)

What has to go right—and what could go wrong for Skyworks?

Those values use pro forma revenue of about $7,700 million and a 13% margin initially. The later margins rise to 16% and 18%, still below the supplied standalone five-year average of 22.1%. The bear range is $560 million to $836 million because lost mobile share, weak demand and delayed savings keep margins low. The bull range is $1,200 million to $1,800 million because retained designs, Broad Markets growth and factory savings improve utilization. Broad Markets grew 8% year over year, while management has targeted at least $500 million of annual savings within 24–36 months.

The bull case assumes major designs remain, Broad Markets grows, and the combination delivers at least $500 million of annual savings on schedule. Higher utilization lifts profit, debt falls, and buybacks reduce dilution. The shares reach $73.61 initially and $179.38 at the final date. Its 15% probability is below the specialists’ 20% because the outcome requires customer retention, integration success, strong cash generation and full repurchase execution despite recent negative free cash flow.

How much cash does Skyworks really make?

Stock compensation adds another qualification. Skyworks paid $232.4 million in stock compensation in fiscal 2025. Subtracting it from reported free cash flow leaves $873.4 million, an owner-oriented measure that recognizes dilution rather than a company-defined subtotal.

Follow the money: real free cash flowUS$ millions
Oct 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Oct 2021
Cash from operations1,300.81,824.71,856.41,424.61,772.0
− Capital spending195.0157.0210.3489.4637.8
= Free cash flow1,105.81,667.71,646.1935.21,134.2
− Stock pay232.4180.3185.1195.2191.9
= Real free cash flow873.41,487.41,461.0740.0942.3
Real free cash flow, % of revenue21.4%35.6%30.6%13.5%18.4%

What this means. Stock pay uses no cash today, but it gives employees part of the company, so we subtract its value to show what is truly left for shareholders.

What does an investor pay for Skyworks today?

P/E means the share price divided by the profit assigned to one share. Skyworks’ trailing P/E is 43.2x, implying about $1.93 of earnings per share over the last twelve months; its forward P/E is 16.6x, implying about $5.03 over the next twelve months. That gap is an expectation, not proven growth, because the periods and accounting adjustments may differ. The investment works only if the enlarged company produces roughly that higher figure consistently.

What an investor pays todayshare price in US$; valuation ratios in times; yield in %
Today (Oct 24, 2026)
Share price83.43
P/E, last 12 months (calculated)43.2x
P/E, next 12 months (calculated)16.6x
Price to book (calculated)2.2x
Dividend yield (calculated)3.4%

What this means. The dividend yield looks like income you will receive, but the company stopped paying dividends on July 28, 2026, so it is based only on the last payment and is not a promise of future payments.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Skyworks Solutions sells small electronic components that help products communicate, control electrical power, and keep precise time. Most of its money comes from selling those components in volume, but the business must spend heavily before a customer’s order becomes cash.

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Where these numbers come from

More on Skyworks

Skyworks dividendSkyworks earningsAuf Deutsch

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