Research memoNatWest Group plc (NWG.L) · LSEMemo of October 13, 2026

NatWest earnings date and guidance

NatWest's next results are expected on October 30, 2026. Watch whether Evelyn's contribution is matched by growth in the existing bank.

October 30, 2026
Next results
4,504
Revenue, quarter to Jun 2026 (£ millions; per share in pence)
20.10
EPS, diluted, quarter to Jun 2026
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Every number traced to NatWest's filings8 chapters · 17,745 words227 sources cited

What has NatWest guided for 2026 and 2028?

Management raised its 2026 target for income excluding notable items to around £17.9 billion, including around £275 million from Evelyn, and expects return on tangible equity, or RoTE, above 19%. Income is revenue before expenses and loan losses. RoTE measures profit against shareholders’ tangible backing, after removing goodwill and similar assets.

The Evelyn contribution makes the target harder to interpret. A shop that buys another shop reports both shops’ sales, but that does not prove the first shop improved. Analysts must therefore separate acquired income from growth in NatWest’s existing businesses. NatWest also expects expenses of around £8.5 billion, including around £300 million from Evelyn, and a loan impairment rate below 25 basis points. That means loan losses below roughly £2.50 for every £1,000 of average loans.

Revenue by quarter (£ millions; per share in pence)3,744Sep 20243,825Dec 20243,980Mar 20254,005Jun 20254,332Sep 20254,324Dec 20254,358Mar 20264,504Jun 2026Revenue
Targets and guidance in force
Period it coversTarget in the bank’s wordsDate it was given
Total income excluding notable items2026around £17.9 billion, including around £275 million relating to Evelyn PartnersJul 31, 2026
Operating expenses, excluding litigation and conduct costs2026around £8.5 billion, including around £300 million relating to Evelyn PartnersJul 31, 2026
Loan impairment rate2026below 25 basis pointsJul 31, 2026
Return on Tangible Equity (2026)2026greater than 19%Jul 31, 2026
Capital generation pre-distributions (2026)2026greater than 240 basis points, excluding the impact of the Evelyn Partners acquisition on 30 June 2026, equivalent to greater than 100 basis points on a reported basisJul 31, 2026
Return on Tangible Equity (2028)2028greater than 18%Jul 31, 2026

Did NatWest keep its past promises?

The financial promise was exceeded. Management guided to RoTE of 15–16% for 2025 and delivered 19.2%. Shareholders approved the annual remuneration report with 98.11% of votes cast at the April 2026 meeting. Those results support management, but they do not end scrutiny of future awards. Malus can reduce unvested awards, and clawback can recover vested awards after misconduct, errors or risk-management failure.

What do NatWest's last eight quarters show?

Revenue and net interest income both grew year on year, so interest remained the main engine rather than fees suddenly taking over. The eight-quarter sequence also shows improvement, although quarterly results remain uneven.

The last eight quarters£ millions; per share in pence
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue4,5044,3584,3244,3324,0053,9803,8253,744
Net interest income3,4963,3943,4413,2683,0943,0262,9682,899
Profit after tax1,6731,5071,4781,6811,3341,3411,2591,243
EPS, diluted20.1017.8017.2019.6015.1015.4014.4014.00
Net interest margin2.5%2.5%2.5%2.4%2.3%2.3%2.2%2.2%
CET1 capital ratio13.2%14.3%14.0%14.2%13.6%13.8%13.6%13.9%

What should you watch in NatWest's next results?

The 30 October 2026 third-quarter results will provide the first full quarter with Evelyn consolidated. Investors should compare Evelyn’s contribution with growth in the existing bank, while watching expenses, loan losses and capital generation. The 25 November Private Banking & Wealth Management presentation should reveal more about client flows, integration and referrals.

From the full memo · 1. The business

NatWest Group is a UK-focused bank that helps households and businesses hold money, make payments and borrow. To understand its economics, follow a pound: who leaves it with NatWest, who borrows it, and what the bank charges along the way.

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