Research memoRepublic Services, Inc. (RSG) · NYSEMemo of October 17, 2026

Republic Services earnings

Republic Services' next results are expected on October 29, 2026. For Republic Services, the key thing to watch is whether volume, pricing and integration costs support the forecast.

October 29, 2026
Next results
4,430
Revenue, quarter to Jun 2026 (US$ millions)
1.84
EPS, diluted, quarter to Jun 2026
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Every number traced to Republic Services's filings8 chapters · 17,145 words280 sources cited

What has Republic Services guided for 2026?

For the year ending December 2026, management guides to revenue of $17,200–$17,300 million, adjusted diluted EPS of $7.23–$7.28, and adjusted free cash flow of $2,540–$2,575 million. “Adjusted” means Republic excludes specified costs from the measure, so the exclusions matter when those costs recur.

Revenue by quarter (US$ millions)4,076Sep 20244,046Dec 20244,009Mar 20254,235Jun 20254,212Sep 20254,136Dec 20254,113Mar 20264,430Jun 2026Revenue
Guidance in forceUS$ millions
Period guidedLowHighDate given
RevenueYear to Dec 202617,20017,300Aug 6, 2026
Adjusted diluted earnings per shareYear to Dec 20267.237.28Aug 6, 2026
Adjusted free cash flowYear to Dec 20262,5402,575Aug 6, 2026
AcquisitionsYear to Dec 20261,200Aug 6, 2026
Property and equipment, net of proceeds from the sale of property and equipmentYear to Dec 20261,9602,000Feb 17, 2026

What this means. The blank high value for acquisitions means the company expects to spend at least 1.2 billion dollars, but has not set a maximum.

Has Republic Services kept its past promises?

The 2025 scorecard shows how the system works. Adjusted earnings per share came just below its annual target, while free cash flow came above target. Before the sustainability adjustment, that produced a potential annual incentive of 94.29% of target. The committee then reduced incentives by 2.5 percentage points after reviewing safety, talent, climate and customer measures. Republic also exceeded its full-year adjusted earnings-per-share and free-cash-flow guidance, though that is not the same as hitting every compensation target.

What have Republic Services results looked like over the last eight quarters?

Revenue was $4.430 billion in Q2 2026, compared with $4.235 billion in Q2 2025. Gross margin was 42.1%, and operating income was $901 million. Net income was $566 million, diluted EPS was $1.84, and free cash flow was $761 million.

The last eight quartersUS$ millions
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue4,4304,1134,1364,2124,2354,0094,0464,076
Operating income901830800836861804803846
Net income566525545550550495512566
EPS, diluted1.841.701.761.761.751.581.631.80
Cash from operations1,1531,2279811,1811,1091,0251,0221,003
= Free cash flow761751404737702566524564

What this means. The revenue numbers are for each three-month quarter, not the whole year.

What should Republic Services watch in the next release?

The company is scheduled to report Q3 2026 results after market close on October 29, followed by a conference call. Management expects the comparison with unusually high prior-year landfill volumes to weigh on Q3. Acquisition integration costs are also expected to be concentrated in Q3 and Q4.

The next results should be judged against volume, pricing and integration costs, while West Lake will remain unresolved until the cleanup plan and responsibility become clearer.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Republic Services is a company that turns a messy physical problem—discarded material—into a chain of paid services. It collects waste, moves it, recovers what it can, and charges for the work and facilities that handle the rest.

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