Research memoPershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (PSH.L) · LSEMemo of October 27, 2026By Olivier Lachance

PSH stock forecast 2027–2029

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: The weighted price is 3971.02 GBp in October 2027. It hinges on NAV growth.

3,780.00
Share price today, GBp
5061.38 (+38 %)
Weighted scenario, October 2029
0.7x
Price to book
1.5%
Dividend yield
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Every number traced to PSH's filings8 chapters · 17,488 words154 sources cited

Where could PSH's shares be by October 2029?

The weighted price is 3971.02 GBp in October 2027, or +7%. It reaches 5061.38 GBp in October 2029, a 38% total return including dividends. Bear has 30% probability; base has 50%. Bull has 20%.

PSH share price scenarios for October 2029: bear 1655.99p, base 5508.59p, bull 9051.42p
What the shares could be worthGBp per PSH.L share at each date; in brackets the return since today's 3780.00, dividends included
CaseProbabilityOctober 2027October 2028October 2029
Bear30 %2633.46 (-29 %)2103.13 (-42 %)1655.99 (-53 %)
Base50 %4238.85 (+14 %)4872.58 (+32 %)5508.59 (+50 %)
Bull20 %5307.79 (+42 %)6911.41 (+86 %)9051.42 (+145 %)
Weighted100 %3971.02 (+7 %)4449.51 (+21 %)5061.38 (+38 %)

What this means. The weighted row is the probability-based average of the bear, base, and bull cases, not another likely outcome.

What has to go right or wrong for PSH?

NAV is the main driver. The forecast starts from estimated current book value of $13.649 billion. The base case assumes a 10% annual NAV total return after costs and financing, less distributions and buybacks. It reaches $14.782 billion in 2027 and $16.011 billion in 2028, then $17.352 billion in 2029. The assumption allows recovery but stays below management’s 20% prospective earnings-growth estimate, which is not a shareholder-return forecast.

How much cash does PSH really make and give back?

Investment income also needs careful naming. Dividends and interest totalled $166.8 million in 2025, but “net investment income” after specified expenses was negative in every year from 2021 through 2025. The practical meaning is that capital appreciation, rather than cash income, must carry the overall return.

What one share getsUS$ per Public Share
20252024202320222021
Book value per share85.3271.1165.0451.7657.30
− Dividends paid, per share0.660.580.520.480.40
− Share buybacks, per share2.070.651.061.340.00

What this means. Share buybacks per share is not money paid to every shareholder; it is the company's total spending on buying its own shares divided by the number of shares.

What does an investor pay for PSH today?

NAV is the value of the assets minus liabilities, divided among the shares. PSH’s 30 September 2026 figures reported NAV of £57.79 and a share price of £36.60. That comparison implied a 36.7% discount. The dates and currencies must match, because both the portfolio and exchange rates can change.

What an investor pays todayGBp; per Public Share except market value
Today (Oct 27, 2026)
Share price3,780.00
Market value (every class) (calculated)652,259,298,531.96
Price to book (calculated)0.7x
Dividend yield (calculated)1.5%
From the full memo · 1. The business

Pershing Square Holdings is a listed investment company that owns a portfolio of investments in other businesses. Its business is to turn shareholder capital into investment exposure, then leave shareholders with the gains, losses and costs that result.

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Where these numbers come from

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