Research memoGE Aerospace (GE) · NYSEMemo of October 12, 2026

GE Aerospace stock forecast

The weighted case puts GE Aerospace at US$281.23 in October 2027. It hinges on profitable service growth and execution on supply, LEAP and CPP.

308.20
Share price today, USD
323.37 (+7 %)
Weighted scenario, October 2029
2.2%
Real free cash flow yield
33.8x
P/E, next 12 months
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Every number traced to GE Aerospace's filings8 chapters · 16,414 words231 sources cited

Where could GE Aerospace's shares be by October 2029?

The weighted case puts GE at US$281.23 in October 2027, with the outcome hinging on profitable service growth and execution on supply, LEAP and CPP. By October 2029, the weighted price reaches US$323.37, a +7% return after a −8% return in October 2027, dividends included.

By October 2029, the modeled range is $174.46 to $508.79. Today’s price is $308.20. The bear case receives 25% probability, the base case 55%, and the bull case 20%.

Share price in October 2029: our three scenarios (USD)Today 308.2174.46Bear · 25 % · -42%323.63Base · 55 % · +7%508.79Bull · 20 % · +67%
What the shares could be worthUSD per share at each date; in brackets the return since today's 308.20, dividends included
CaseProbabilityOctober 2027October 2028October 2029
Bear25 %216.44 (-29 %)195.40 (-35 %)174.46 (-42 %)
Base55 %290.44 (-5 %)308.22 (+1 %)323.63 (+7 %)
Bull20 %336.89 (+10 %)419.34 (+37 %)508.79 (+67 %)
Weighted100 %281.23 (-8 %)302.24 (-1 %)323.37 (+7 %)

What has to go right or wrong for GE Aerospace?

The bear story begins with supplier or shop constraints delaying deliveries and cash conversion. LEAP service costs then weaken margins, while CPP financing limits buybacks. The first price is $216.44 and the last is $174.46. Its 25% probability reflects the size of the pending acquisition, CES margin pressure and the absence of a guaranteed repurchase amount.

The bull story requires supplier flow to improve, CPP capacity to become productive and LEAP durability to reduce repair costs. Stronger service conversion would lift earnings and cash flow, supporting both buybacks and a premium P/E. The first price is $336.89 and the last is $508.79. Its 20% probability reflects the need for several operational improvements to arrive together.

How much cash does GE Aerospace really make?

Operating cash reflects collections from customers and payments to suppliers, employees and others. Straightforward free cash flow subtracts capital spending from that operating cash. GE’s own measure makes additional adjustments, including separation-related cash costs and, from Q3 2025, proceeds from selling property and equipment.

Follow the money: real free cash flowUS$ millions, without GECAS
2025202420232022
Cash from operations8,5435,8174,6094,027
− Capital spending1,2731,032862662
= Free cash flow7,2704,7853,7473,365
− Stock pay325286192143
= Real free cash flow6,9454,4993,5553,222
Real free cash flow, % of revenue15.1%11.6%10.1%11.1%

What does an investor pay for GE Aerospace today?

What an investor pays todayUS$ millions
Today (Oct 12, 2026)
Share price308.20
P/E, last 12 months (calculated)36.3x
P/E, next 12 months (calculated)33.8x
Free cash flow yield (calculated)2.3%
Real free cash flow yield (calculated)2.2%
Dividend yield (calculated)0.6%
From the full memo · 1. The business

GE Aerospace sells aircraft engines and equipment, then earns repeat revenue keeping them in service. Its business is easiest to understand as a long loop in which an engine sale creates decades of parts, repairs and technical support.

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Where these numbers come from

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