Research memoFord Motor Company (F) · NYSEMemo of October 18, 2026

Ford earnings: date, guidance and what to watch

Ford's next results are expected on October 28, 2026. Watch whether Ford delivers the second-half cash recovery while handling warranty and legal costs.

October 28, 2026
Next results
48,296
Revenue, quarter to Jun 2026 (US$ millions)
-0.33
EPS, diluted, quarter to Jun 2026
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Every number traced to Ford's filings8 chapters · 17,241 words240 sources cited

What has Ford guided for 2026?

Management’s July 2026 guidance calls for $10–11 billion adjusted EBIT and $6–7 billion adjusted free cash flow. It also calls for $9.5–10.5 billion of capital spending. First-half adjusted free cash flow was only $0.2 billion. Reaching the full-year floor requires $5.8 billion in the second half.

Revenue by quarter (US$ millions)46,196Sep 202448,211Dec 202440,659Mar 202550,184Jun 202550,534Sep 202545,890Dec 202543,253Mar 202648,296Jun 2026Revenue
Guidance in forceUS$ billions
Period guidedLowHighDate given
Adjusted EBITFY 202610.011.0Jul 28, 2026
Adjusted Free Cash FlowFY 20266.07.0Jul 28, 2026
Capital expendituresFY 20269.510.5Jul 28, 2026
Ford Pro EBITFY 20267.07.5Jul 28, 2026
Ford Blue EBITFY 20265.05.5Jul 28, 2026
Ford Model e EBIT lossFY 2026-4.0-4.0Jul 28, 2026

What this means. Ford’s adjusted free cash flow leaves out Ford Credit’s normal cash generation but includes money Ford Credit sends to the rest of Ford, so it is not the whole company’s cash flow.

What do Ford's last eight quarters show?

Revenue fell from the prior-year quarter while operating income improved. Net income worsened because the BlueOval SK disposition charge reached US$3.612 billion. Adjusted EBIT rose to US$2.5 billion, and Ford raised its 2026 guidance. The quarter therefore looked stronger beneath the reported net-loss line.

Quarterly free cash flow remained uneven, reflecting investment and timing as well as profit.

The last eight quartersUS$ millions
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue48,29643,25345,89050,53450,18440,65948,21146,196
Gross margin12.6%18.4%-12.5%14.1%11.8%13.5%14.3%13.0%
Operating income6382,329-11,5571,5585113191,231880
Net income-1,3272,548-11,0642,447-364711,824892
EPS, diluted-0.330.63-2.770.60-0.010.120.450.22
= Free cash flow-59-4,378-3,4343,5621,746-2,2171212,236

What this means. Ford's reported cash from operations and free cash flow exclude Ford Credit, while the revenue and profit rows include it, so these numbers cover different parts of the company.

What should you watch in Ford's next results?

The decisive milestones are the second-half cash recovery, the handling of warranty and legal costs, and production-qualified Fathom prototypes in the first quarter of 2027. Together they will show whether Ford’s next stage becomes self-funded or makes a larger claim on its balance sheet.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Ford Motor Company sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, then earns more from financing, parts, repairs, and services built around those vehicles. To follow a dollar through the business, start with what Ford sells, then trace who pays, what Ford spends, and how Ford Pro tries to make the relationship last.

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