Constellation earnings date and guidance
Constellation's next results are expected on November 9, 2026. Watch cash generation after the Brazos Valley sale.
What has Constellation guided for 2026?
On August 6, management raised 2026 adjusted operating earnings guidance to $11.50–$12.50 per share. The forecast uses 357 million average diluted shares. A buyback can raise EPS without raising total profit because the same earnings are divided among fewer shares. Management’s lower share assumption explains about $0.13 of the midpoint increase; stronger expected earnings explain most of the rest.
Base earnings come mainly from long contracts, nuclear support arrangements and normalized assumptions. Enhanced earnings add value from market conditions and commercial execution. Base EPS guidance is $6.65–$6.75 in 2026. It rises to $7.60–$7.70 in 2027.
| The period guided | Low | High | The date it was given | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings per share (2026) | Year to Dec 2026 | 11.50 | 12.50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Expected average diluted common shares outstanding (millions) (2026) | Year to Dec 2026 | 357 | 357 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Base Earnings per share (2026) | Year to Dec 2026 | 6.65 | 6.75 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Base Earnings per share (2027) | Year to Dec 2027 | 7.60 | 7.70 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Cumulative FCFbG generated (2026–2027) | Years to Dec 2026–2027 | 8,400 | 8,400 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Has Constellation kept its promises?
The broader record is mixed but useful. Constellation exceeded the midpoint of its earnings guidance for four consecutive years through 2025, showing delivery against its stated forecasts while leaving open how demanding those forecasts were. Kathleen Barrón’s retention award supported a transition through the first half of 2026, but retirement could fully vest it before the broader Calpine integration was complete.
What do Constellation's last eight quarters show?
Revenue rose year over year, yet operating income, net income and diluted EPS fell. A larger company therefore produced a smaller reported bottom line for the quarter, which is not straightforward evidence that selling more electricity created more profit.
Cash was weaker still: operating cash declined while capital spending increased, leaving free cash flow negative for the quarter and for the first half. The eight-quarter sequence includes only one clearly strong recent quarter followed by three negative quarters, so June does not establish a durable turn.
| Jun 2026 | Mar 2026 | Dec 2025 | Sep 2025 | Jun 2025 | Mar 2025 | Dec 2024 | Sep 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7,504 | 11,122 | 6,074 | 6,570 | 6,101 | 6,788 | 5,382 | 6,550 |
| Operating income | 580 | 2,332 | 598 | 1,086 | 951 | 451 | 972 | 1,467 |
| Net income | 513 | 1,590 | 432 | 930 | 839 | 118 | 852 | 1,200 |
| EPS, diluted | 1.42 | 4.49 | 1.38 | 2.97 | 2.67 | 0.38 | 2.71 | 3.82 |
| Cash from operations | 1,128 | 425 | 805 | 1,848 | 1,477 | 107 | -1,016 | -112 |
| = Free cash flow | -118 | -850 | -181 | 1,458 | 710 | -699 | -1,745 | -664 |
What this means. Free cash flow can be negative even when the company reports a profit because it subtracts cash spent on equipment, buildings, and software.