Research memoConstellation Energy Corporation (CEG) · NASDAQMemo of October 15, 2026

Constellation earnings date and guidance

Constellation's next results are expected on November 9, 2026. Watch cash generation after the Brazos Valley sale.

November 9, 2026
Next results
7,504
Revenue, quarter to Jun 2026 (US$ millions)
1.42
EPS, diluted, quarter to Jun 2026
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Every number traced to Constellation's filings8 chapters · 18,772 words207 sources cited

What has Constellation guided for 2026?

On August 6, management raised 2026 adjusted operating earnings guidance to $11.50–$12.50 per share. The forecast uses 357 million average diluted shares. A buyback can raise EPS without raising total profit because the same earnings are divided among fewer shares. Management’s lower share assumption explains about $0.13 of the midpoint increase; stronger expected earnings explain most of the rest.

Base earnings come mainly from long contracts, nuclear support arrangements and normalized assumptions. Enhanced earnings add value from market conditions and commercial execution. Base EPS guidance is $6.65–$6.75 in 2026. It rises to $7.60–$7.70 in 2027.

Revenue by quarter (US$ millions)6,550Sep 20245,382Dec 20246,788Mar 20256,101Jun 20256,570Sep 20256,074Dec 202511,122Mar 20267,504Jun 2026Revenue
Guidance in forceUS$ millions
The period guidedLowHighThe date it was given
Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings per share (2026)Year to Dec 202611.5012.50Aug 6, 2026
Expected average diluted common shares outstanding (millions) (2026)Year to Dec 2026357357Aug 6, 2026
Base Earnings per share (2026)Year to Dec 20266.656.75Mar 31, 2026
Base Earnings per share (2027)Year to Dec 20277.607.70Mar 31, 2026
Cumulative FCFbG generated (2026–2027)Years to Dec 2026–20278,4008,400Aug 6, 2026

Has Constellation kept its promises?

The broader record is mixed but useful. Constellation exceeded the midpoint of its earnings guidance for four consecutive years through 2025, showing delivery against its stated forecasts while leaving open how demanding those forecasts were. Kathleen Barrón’s retention award supported a transition through the first half of 2026, but retirement could fully vest it before the broader Calpine integration was complete.

What do Constellation's last eight quarters show?

Revenue rose year over year, yet operating income, net income and diluted EPS fell. A larger company therefore produced a smaller reported bottom line for the quarter, which is not straightforward evidence that selling more electricity created more profit.

Cash was weaker still: operating cash declined while capital spending increased, leaving free cash flow negative for the quarter and for the first half. The eight-quarter sequence includes only one clearly strong recent quarter followed by three negative quarters, so June does not establish a durable turn.

The last eight quartersUS$ millions
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue7,50411,1226,0746,5706,1016,7885,3826,550
Operating income5802,3325981,0869514519721,467
Net income5131,5904329308391188521,200
EPS, diluted1.424.491.382.972.670.382.713.82
Cash from operations1,1284258051,8481,477107-1,016-112
= Free cash flow-118-850-1811,458710-699-1,745-664

What this means. Free cash flow can be negative even when the company reports a profit because it subtracts cash spent on equipment, buildings, and software.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Constellation Energy makes and buys energy, then sells electricity, natural gas and related services to households, businesses and large buyers. Its business becomes clear by following a dollar from generation or procurement to a customer, through operating costs and contracts, and back into the cash needed to keep making promises.

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