Research memoBT Group plc (BT-A.L) · LSEMemo of October 16, 2026

BT dividend: cash cover and yield

BT pays £0.0857 per share in the base case, rising to £0.0910 per share. In March 2026, free cash flow was £102m against £807m of dividends and £126m of share purchases, leaving a shortfall of £831m.

8.12
Dividend paid per share, Mar 2026
4.0%
Dividend yield
0.3%
Real free cash flow yield
0.5%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to BT's filings8 chapters · 16,514 words195 sources cited

How much does BT pay per share?

Base dividends rise from £0.0857 to £0.0910 per share. The bear holds at £0.0707, while the bull reaches £0.0964. The base applies 3% annual growth, consistent with BT's low-to-middle single-digit policy. The cut remains plausible because FY26 real free cash flow was only £53m and TalkTalk is expected to have a £400m FY27 cash impact.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (pence)2.25-2.16Mar 20227.47-0.98Mar 20237.59-7.00Mar 20247.912.96Mar 20258.120.53Mar 2026Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share
What one share getspence
Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Real free cash flow per share0.532.96-7.00-0.98-2.16
Free cash flow per share1.033.58-6.29-0.19-1.10
− Dividends paid, per share8.127.917.597.472.25
− Share buybacks, per share1.270.791.331.371.82

What this means. The company's own free cash flow per share is higher because it leaves out pension deficit payments, spectrum costs, and other specific items that we count.

Does BT’s cash cover its dividend?

In March 2026, free cash flow was positive at £102m. Dividends were £807m and share purchases were £126m. The resulting shortfall was £831m. BT could meet it from cash reserves, investment sales or borrowing, but each choice reduced financial flexibility.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow went£ millions
Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Free cash flow102357-629-19-111
− Dividends paid807788759751228
− Share buybacks12679133138184
= Paid out more than the free cash flow8315101,521908523
Paid to shareholders933867892889412

What could change BT’s dividend?

Management guides to £2,000 million of normalised free cash flow in FY27 and roughly £3 billion by the end of the decade. Openreach targets 25 million FTTP premises by December 2026. FTTP means fibre-optic cables running all the way to a home or business. It also targets 800,000 broadband line losses in FY27. BT expects low-to-middle single-digit annual dividend growth; larger payments depend on stronger credit metrics and residual cash. TalkTalk is expected to have a £400 million FY27 cash impact, excluded from the existing free-cash-flow target.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; GBP millions, per share in GBP, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
EBITDA8,225 (7,800 / 8,350)8,375 (7,725 / 8,650)8,550 (7,825 / 8,950)
Dividends per share0.09 (0.07 / 0.09)0.09 (0.07 / 0.09)0.09 (0.07 / 0.10)
Net debt16,432 (16,862 / 16,223)15,797 (16,592 / 15,279)14,989 (16,225 / 14,141)

What is BT’s dividend yield at its share price?

At 206.90p, shareholders value BT at £20,623.047m. Enterprise value estimates the cost of the operating business, including debt that a buyer would assume, and stands at £37,318.047m. The difference is £16,695m. BT’s net debt includes lease liabilities, which are future payments for leased assets, while net financial debt excludes them. The valuation therefore depends on using the correct debt measure.

Cash gives the harder test. BT reported £1,508m of normalised free cash flow and a 4.0% dividend yield. Its normalised measure deducts investment, interest and leases, but excludes pension deficit payments and specified costs. Those obligations still consume cash, so dividend safety depends on what remains after them.

From the full memo · 1. The business

BT Group builds and runs communications networks, then sells connections and services over them. Its money comes from recurring payments by households, organisations and other communications providers, while much of its spending goes into networks that must be built before they can earn.

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Where these numbers come from

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