Research memoAmcor plc (AMCR) · NYSEMemo of October 23, 2026By Olivier Lachance

Amcor dividend

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: Amcor's forecast dividend rises from $2.64 in October 2027 to $2.69 in October 2028 and $2.75 in October 2029. After allowing for $83 million of stock pay, “real free cash flow” was $1.1 billion, less than the $1.2 billion paid in dividends.

2.58
Dividend paid per share, Jun 2026
5.6%
Dividend yield
5.3%
Real free cash flow yield
5.7%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Amcor's filings8 chapters · 21,538 words186 sources cited

How much does Amcor pay its shareholders?

Amcor (AMCR) dividend per share: $2.38 paid in Jun 2022, $2.58 in Jun 2026; our forecast: $2.75 in Oct 2029; dividend yield 5.6 %

Dividends grow from $2.64 in October 2027 to $2.69 in October 2028 and $2.75 in October 2029. That continues the roughly 2% annual increases of the previous five years. The bear case holds the current run rate first, then cuts to $2.20 as cash pressure intensifies. The bull case reaches $2.92 through 4% annual growth, supported by better cash conversion, although FY2026 real free cash flow did not cover dividends.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings2,025 (1,752 / 2,108)2,108 (1,750 / 2,236)2,202 (1,747 / 2,385)
Shares (millions)464 (464 / 463)466 (466 / 464)467 (468 / 464)
Dividends per share2.64 (2.59 / 2.70)2.69 (2.20 / 2.81)2.75 (2.20 / 2.92)
Price to earnings14.00 (12.00 / 17.00)14.00 (10.00 / 18.00)14.00 (9.00 / 19.00)

How much would Amcor's dividend pay you?

$10,000 invested in Amcor at its 5.6% dividend yield (our report of October 23, 2026) pays $560.00 in the first year, before tax. If its dividend per share keeps changing 2.0% a year, as it did from Jun 2022 to Jun 2026, and the dividends are reinvested, year 10 pays $1,142.02, with $8,149.54 received in all.

$

$560.00
First-year dividend income
$1,142.02
Dividend income in year 10
$8,149.54
Total dividends received

Before tax. Past dividend growth is not a promise. Information only, not investment advice.

Is Amcor's dividend covered by its cash?

After allowing for $83 million of stock pay, “real free cash flow” was $1.1 billion, less than the $1.2 billion paid in dividends. Stock pay is not a current cash payment, but it represents dilution. The cash question therefore leads directly to debt capacity.

Cash therefore gives the tougher test. Amcor generated $1.303 billion of FY26 free cash flow after about $290 million of transaction, restructuring and integration costs. It paid $1.195 billion in dividends, leaving little before debt repayment and other uses. Working capital can tighten the squeeze because cash becomes tied up in receivables and inventories even when adjusted profit rises.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentUS$ millions
Jun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Free cash flow1,229810829735999
− Dividends paid1,195842716717723
= Free cash flow not paid out3477
Paid out, % of free cash flow97.2%104.0%90.0%156.3%132.5%
Paid out, % of real free cash flow104.3%114.4%93.6%168.7%141.5%

What this means. In some years, the company paid shareholders more cash than its business generated, so it had to use savings or borrow money to cover the difference.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (US$ per share; shares in millions)2.383.09Jun 20222.432.31Jun 20232.492.77Jun 20242.642.31Jun 20252.582.47Jun 2026Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share

What could change Amcor's dividend?

Management guides to adjusted EPS of US$1.80–US$1.90 for the six months to December 2026. It guides to leverage of 3.5x–3.6x at December 31, 2026. Expected cash-flow recovery is US$100–US$300 million in that period. The 12-month target is US$500 million. Retained Berry synergies target US$650 million by the end of FY2028, after US$285 million of FY2026 benefits.

What is Amcor's dividend yield today?

Today’s price assumes that Berry’s remaining benefits will lift earnings and release cash. At $46.375, the next-twelve-month P/E is 10.6x. That arithmetic implies about $4.38 of earnings per share on the forecast’s definition.

What an investor pays todayUS$ millions, except share price in US$; ratios and yields as shown
Today (Oct 23, 2026)
Share price46.375
Market value (calculated)21,441.28
P/E, next 12 months (calculated)10.6x
Dividend yield (calculated)5.6%

What this means. The next-12-month price-to-earnings ratio uses analysts’ estimates of future profit, so it is not based on money the company has already earned.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Amcor makes the packages that protect, transport and present other companies’ products. To understand its business, follow a dollar from the materials it buys, through its factories and customers, to the cash left after production and investment.

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Where these numbers come from

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