Research memoAlibaba Group Holding Limited (9988.HK) · HKSEMemo of October 12, 2026

Alibaba dividend: amount and cash coverage

Alibaba pays CNY0.90 per share, a regular dividend that has been stable since FY2023. Its FY2026 free cash flow was negative CNY50,724 million, so current cash flow did not cover the dividend.

1.75
Dividend paid per share, Mar 2026
1.0%
Dividend yield
-3.4%
Real free cash flow yield
-2.8%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Alibaba's filings8 chapters · 16,537 words214 sources cited

How much does Alibaba pay per share?

The forecast uses CNY0.90 per share in every case and every period. This approximates the declared regular dividend of US$0.13125, which has been stable since FY2023. FY2026 free cash flow was negative CNY50,724 million, so the model excludes the prior year’s extraordinary dividend and assumes infrastructure spending limits increases.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (RMB per share)0.00Mar 20220.00Mar 20230.88Mar 20241.51Mar 20251.75-3.22Mar 2026Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share
What one share getsRMB per share
Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Free cash flow per share-2.64
− Dividends paid, per share1.751.510.880.000.00
− Share buybacks, per share0.404.494.363.542.81

Does Alibaba’s cash cover its dividend?

Free cash flow is the cash left after operating cash pays for capital expenditure. Alibaba’s free cash flow turned negative in FY2026 because investment spending exceeded the cash generated by operations. Dividends and buybacks then consumed still more money, leaving less for new projects.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentRMB millions
Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Free cash flow-50,724
− Dividends paid33,73229,07717,94600
− Share buybacks7,63886,66288,74574,74661,225
= Paid out more than the free cash flow93,411
− Acquisitions1,212

Could Alibaba’s dividend change?

The dividend stays flat because Alibaba has maintained the regular payment but has not funded a higher one from current cash flow.

What is Alibaba’s dividend yield today?

The probability-weighted price is HKD98.99 in October 2027, implying an 8% loss including dividends. It rises to HKD116.99 in October 2028, a 10% return, and HKD146.52 in October 2029, a 38% return. The final-date range is wide: HKD48.45 in the bear case to HKD273.75 in the bull case, against today’s HKD108.20.

What an investor pays todayHK$ millions; per share in HK$
Today (Oct 12, 2026)
Share price108.20
Free cash flow yield (calculated)-2.8%
Real free cash flow yield (calculated)-3.4%
Dividend yield (calculated)1.0%
From the full memo · 1. The business

Alibaba is chiefly a digital marketplace operator: it connects shoppers and businesses, then sells the computing, logistics and retail services that help those transactions happen. Its money comes from fees, service charges and some direct sales, while its costs come from technology, people, inventory, infrastructure and delivery.

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Where these numbers come from

More on Alibaba

Alibaba stock forecastAlibaba earnings

Its rivals

Meituan (3690.HK)Tencent (0700.HK)Amazon (AMZN)

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