Research memoPolar Capital Technology Trust plc (PCT.L) · LSEMemo of October 24, 2026By Olivier Lachance

PCT stock forecast 2027–2029

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: The weighted forecast points to a 40% return to 850.32p by October 2029. It hinges on portfolio growth and the discount.

607.00
Share price today, GBp
850.32 (+40 %)
Weighted scenario, October 2029
0.92x
Price to book
0.0%
Dividend yield
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Every number traced to PCT's filings8 chapters · 16,686 words126 sources cited

Where could PCT's shares be by 2029?

The forecast points to a modest first year, followed by stronger gains. The probability-weighted price is 625.40p in October 2027, including dividends. That is a 3% return from 607.00p. It rises to 724.81p in October 2028, a 19% return. By October 2029 it reaches 850.32p, a 40% return.

The table shows how the 30% bear, 50% base and 20% bull probabilities produce the weighted path.

PCT share price scenarios for October 2029: bear 511.49p, base 886.31p, bull 1268.60p
What the shares could be worthGBp per PCT.L share at each date; in brackets the return since today's 607.00, dividends included
CaseProbabilityOctober 2027October 2028October 2029
Bear30 %454.34 (-25 %)466.01 (-23 %)511.49 (-16 %)
Base50 %667.55 (+10 %)773.31 (+27 %)886.31 (+46 %)
Bull20 %776.64 (+28 %)991.74 (+63 %)1268.60 (+109 %)
Weighted100 %625.40 (+3 %)724.81 (+19 %)850.32 (+40 %)

What this means. The weighted row is the average expected share value after giving each case more or less influence based on its probability.

What does PCT need to get right, and what could go wrong?

The case turns on whether AI customers keep investing and suppliers convert orders into durable profits. Weaker capital expenditure or new semiconductor capacity—a semiconductor is a material used to make electronic chips—would push the outcome toward bear. Results due in December 2026 for the half-year ending 31 October 2026 will show holdings, costs, borrowing and net cash. The ¥15bn loan is due in September 2027; repayment or refinancing could limit cash available for buybacks.

The bear case applies a 20% fall initially, followed by a 5% fall. It then assumes a 5% recovery and £75m annual buybacks, leaving NAV at £5,644.72m by 2029. The bull case assumes 25% annual growth and £200m annual buybacks, reaching £13,612.5m. The range reflects PCT’s 43.4% semiconductor exposure, interconnected data-centre holdings and the absence of numerical management guidance.

How much cash does PCT really make?

Dividend and interest receipts enter investment income. Portfolio revaluations enter capital. PCT charges its ordinary running expenses against revenue, so positive investment income can still leave a revenue loss and a negative revenue reserve. That is why the dividend per share remained £0.00 despite valuable investments.

Revenue-account incomeGBP thousands
Apr 2026Apr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022
Total income, revenue account32,79125,36421,90919,98015,901

What does an investor pay for PCT today?

What an investor pays todayGBp; market value in GBp millions
Today (Oct 24, 2026)
Share price607.00
Market value (every class) (calculated)667,182.692
Price to book (calculated)0.92x
Dividend yield (calculated)0.0%
From the full memo · 1. The business

Polar Capital Technology Trust is a listed company that turns shareholders’ money into a professionally chosen portfolio of global technology businesses. To understand its business, follow the money: shareholders buy exposure, portfolio companies generate returns, and fees and other costs come out before the remaining value belongs to shareholders.

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Where these numbers come from

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