Research memoEmerson Electric Co. (EMR) · NYSEMemo of October 16, 2026

Emerson dividend

Emerson's forecast dividend rises from 2.33 to 2.57 per share, from a latest 0.555 quarterly rate. Free cash flow was $3.245 billion in fiscal 2025, and across five years shareholder payments absorbed about $10.6 billion of roughly $12.3 billion in free cash flow.

2.10
Dividend paid per share, Sep 2025
1.4%
Dividend yield
3.3%
Real free cash flow yield
3.6%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Emerson's filings8 chapters · 17,035 words246 sources cited

How much does Emerson pay per share?

Dividends rise steadily in the base case from 2.33 to 2.45 and then 2.57 per share. The bear case pauses at 2.22 before reaching 2.29, while the bull case reaches 2.77. The base reflects the latest 0.555 quarterly rate, the five-year record of increases and planned dividend payments of about 1.2 billion; debt and competing cash needs make repeated bull-case increases less likely.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (US$)2.013.09Sep 20212.052.72Sep 20222.083.63Sep 20232.094.60Sep 20242.105.26Sep 2025Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share
The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings4,100 (3,500 / 4,350)4,500 (3,550 / 5,000)4,950 (3,700 / 5,700)
Shares (millions)554 (554 / 552)550 (556 / 546)546 (559 / 540)
Dividends per share2.33 (2.22 / 2.38)2.45 (2.22 / 2.57)2.57 (2.29 / 2.77)
Price to earnings23.00 (18.00 / 27.00)23.00 (16.00 / 29.00)22.00 (15.00 / 30.00)

Is Emerson's dividend covered by its cash?

Free cash flow is the cash left after operations pay for necessary capital spending. Emerson generated $3.676 billion of operating cash in fiscal 2025. After $431 million of capital spending, free cash flow was $3.245 billion.

Dividends made a steady claim on that pool, while buybacks varied sharply. Across five years, shareholder payments absorbed about $10.6 billion of roughly $12.3 billion in free cash flow. In fiscal 2023, buybacks helped push total shareholder payments above that year’s free cash flow, because disposal proceeds supplied additional cash.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentUS$ millions
Sep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Free cash flow3,2452,8982,3471,7492,054
− Dividends paid1,1921,2011,1981,2231,210
− Share buybacks1,1674352,000500500
= Free cash flow not paid out8831,26022319
Paid to shareholders2,3591,6363,1981,7231,710
Paid out, % of free cash flow72.7%56.5%136.3%98.5%83.3%

What is Emerson's dividend yield against its share price?

Emerson Electric is an industrial automation company whose equipment, control systems and software help factories and process plants operate. At $162.15 a share on October 16, 2026, the market is paying for a larger business that must produce much more profit and cash.

Free-cash-flow yield is 3.6%, compared with a stated real free-cash-flow yield of 3.3%. Free cash flow can repay debt, fund acquisitions, or support dividends and buybacks; the 1.4% dividend yield measures only what shareholders receive directly. “Real” free cash flow has no clear meaning here until its adjustment is defined.

What an investor pays todayUS$ millions
Today (Oct 16, 2026)
Share price162.15
Free cash flow yield (calculated)3.6%
Real free cash flow yield (calculated)3.3%
Dividend yield (calculated)1.4%

What this means. The next-year price-to-earnings figure uses analysts’ guesses about future profit, so it can change or be wrong.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Emerson Electric sells the hardware and software that keep industrial processes moving, measured and under control. Its business becomes clearer when we follow one dollar from a plant’s need, through Emerson’s products and customers, to the maintenance and upgrades that bring the customer back.

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Where these numbers come from

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Emerson stock forecastEmerson earnings

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