Research memoNongfu Spring Co., Ltd. (9633.HK) · HKSEMemo of October 15, 2026By Olivier Lachance

Nongfu Spring earnings

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: In the six months ended June 2026, revenue rose approximately 16.0%, net income rose 16.6%, and diluted earnings per share increased from RMB0.68 to RMB0.79. The next release will show whether sales and profit clear management’s reported double-digit hurdle and whether second-half profit reaches roughly RMB9.12 billion implied by consensus.

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Every number traced to Nongfu Spring's filings8 chapters · 15,129 words122 sources cited

What has Nongfu Spring guided for 2026?

Nongfu Spring’s latest reported aim is double-digit growth in both sales and net profit in 2026.

“Double-digit” means at least 10% growth from the previous year. It is a hurdle, not a precise forecast: management has not said whether growth will be 10% or 15%, or how much each product must contribute.

Nongfu Spring (9633.HK): Revenue by half-year (RMB millions): 6 months to Dec 2022 16,640.426, 6 months to Jun 2026 29,718.1; EPS RMB 0.79

What promise has Nongfu Spring delivered?

A clearer promise delivered was the 2025 dividend of RMB0.99 per share, approved by shareholders and paid in August 2026. The remaining question is whether compensation rewards lasting value per share, rather than merely continued employment.

What is Nongfu Spring’s revenue and profit trend over the last eight reported periods?

The six months ended June 2026 should be compared with the same six months a year earlier, because weather, holidays and distributor stocking distort adjacent periods. Revenue rose approximately 16.0%, net income rose 16.6%, and diluted earnings per share increased from RMB0.68 to RMB0.79.

The last eight reported periodsRMB millions; per share in RMB
6 months to Jun 20266 months to Dec 20256 months to Jun 20256 months to Dec 20246 months to Jun 20246 months to Dec 20236 months to Jun 20236 months to Dec 2022
Revenue29,718.126,930.70925,622.20120,722.90822,173.08422,204.79620,462.42516,640.426
Gross margin60.9%60.7%60.3%57.3%58.8%59.0%60.2%55.6%
Net income8,886.8468,246.1927,622.0825,883.7256,239.5796,304.0775,775.4213,886.925
EPS, diluted0.790.730.680.520.560.560.510.35
= Free cash flow6,928.9777,445.3737,056.1591,816.7212,655.6156,306.8646,175.2033,714.022

What should you watch in Nongfu Spring’s next release?

The immediate checkpoint is the year ending December 31, 2026. Results will show whether sales and profit clear management’s reported double-digit hurdle and whether second-half profit reaches the roughly RMB9.12 billion implied by consensus.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Nongfu Spring is a beverage maker whose products travel from factories and water sources through distributors and shops to the person who drinks them. To understand its business, follow two flows at once: what people buy, and how each yuan of company revenue is divided among making, selling, administration, tax and profit.

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