Research memoChow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (1929.HK) · HKSEMemo of October 26, 2026

Chow Tai Fook dividend

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: Chow Tai Fook's base dividend is HK$0.74 in 2027, HK$0.79 in 2028 and HK$0.84 in 2029. Chow Tai Fook's free cash flow was negative in FY2026, while dividends and buybacks continued and debt issued exceeded debt repaid.

0.52
Dividend paid per share, Mar 2026
6.1%
Dividend yield
-0.6%
Real free cash flow yield
-0.6%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Chow Tai Fook's filings8 chapters · 21,446 words162 sources cited

How much does Chow Tai Fook pay per share?

Base dividends are HK$0.74 in 2027 and HK$0.79 in 2028, reaching HK$0.84 in 2029. The bear cuts DPS to HK$0.50 and then HK$0.40. The bull reaches HK$0.83 initially and HK$1.05 by 2029.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (HK$ per share; shares in millions)0.461.11Mar 20220.500.66Mar 20231.251.14Mar 20240.500.82Mar 20250.52-0.06Mar 2026Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share
ResultsHK$ millions; per share in HK$
Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Revenue94,398.489,656108,71394,684.498,937.7
Net income9,004.35,915.56,499.35,384.46,712.3
Dividend per share0.670.520.550.500.50

What this means. Gross profit for earlier years was changed because the company moved gold-loan gains and losses to a different part of its accounts, so those years may differ from older reports.

How much would Chow Tai Fook's dividend pay you?

HK$10,000 invested in Chow Tai Fook at its 6.1% dividend yield (our report of October 26, 2026) pays HK$610.00 in the first year, before tax. If its dividend per share keeps changing 3.1% a year, as it did from Mar 2022 to Mar 2026, and the dividends are reinvested, year 10 pays HK$1,467.28, with HK$9,722.18 received in all.

HK$

HK$610.00
First-year dividend income
HK$1,467.28
Dividend income in year 10
HK$9,722.18
Total dividends received

Before tax. Past dividend growth is not a promise. Information only, not investment advice.

Does Chow Tai Fook's cash cover its dividend?

FY2025 was more conservative. Free cash flow covered the shareholder return, and debt repayments exceeded new borrowing. FY2026 reversed that pattern: free cash flow was negative, yet dividends and buybacks continued while debt issued exceeded debt repaid.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentHK$ millions
Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Free cash flow-614.38,161.411,364.66,569.911,137.3
− Dividends paid5,327.14,993.812,497.55,0004,600
− Share buybacks1,575.22.8134.900
= Free cash flow not paid out3,044.71,490.56,448.3
= Paid out more than the free cash flow7,516.61,307.8

What this means. The company's own net debt is slightly different because it rounds its reported figures to whole millions, while our calculation uses exact amounts.

What could change Chow Tai Fook's dividend?

FY2027 is the first decisive test: revenue should follow the guided mid-to-high single-digit path while operating margin remains above 14%. A weaker result would move the forecast toward the bear case.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; HKD millions, per share in HKD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Normal operating profit16,000 (13,000 / 18,540)16,952 (13,860 / 20,535)17,820 (14,280 / 22,610)
Dividends per share0.74 (0.50 / 0.83)0.79 (0.40 / 0.94)0.84 (0.40 / 1.05)
Net debt16,419 (21,300 / 12,470)14,578 (22,223 / 5,984)12,140 (21,767 / -2,303)

What this means. In October 2029 in the bull case, net debt is negative, meaning the company has more cash than borrowed money.

What is Chow Tai Fook's dividend yield against its share price?

A P/E of 12.2x means investors pay HK$12.20 for each HK$1 of earnings from the last twelve months. The forward P/E of 10.4x uses forecast earnings, so it implies higher profit ahead. The 6.1% dividend yield measures cash distributed against the share price; it is not guaranteed interest. Profit may instead fund inventory, stores or debt repayment.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited makes and sells jewellery, chiefly gold, through shops, franchisees and online channels. Its business is a chain of payments: customers and trade partners pay for products, while the group pays for materials, stock, shops, people, financing and tax.

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