Research memoLink Real Estate Investment Trust (0823.HK) · HKSEMemo of October 28, 2026

Link stock forecast 2027–2029

MyStockButler's October 2026 analysis: Link's weighted scenario reaches HK$39.16 in October 2029. It hinges on rent income stabilising, refinancing staying manageable, and savings and improvements earning their keep.

39.00
Share price today, HKD
39.16 (+19 %)
Weighted scenario, October 2029
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Every number traced to Link's filings8 chapters · 19,031 words197 sources cited

Where could Link's shares be by October 2029?

The October 2027 price is HK$36.38, or −0% including dividends. October 2028 is HK$36.81, or +7%. October 2029 is HK$39.16, or +19%. Today’s price is HK$39.00. The October 2029 range runs from HK$17.12 in the bear case to HK$62.88 in the bull case. The probabilities are 28% bear, 52% base and 20% bull.

Share price in October 2029: our three scenarios (HKD)Today 3917.12Bear · 28 % · -40%41.90Base · 52 % · +27%62.88Bull · 20 % · +82%
What the shares could be worthHKD per share at each date; in brackets the return since today's 39.00, dividends included
CaseProbabilityOctober 2027October 2028October 2029
Bear28 %28.45 (-21 %)22.60 (-31 %)17.12 (-40 %)
Base52 %37.50 (+3 %)38.23 (+11 %)41.90 (+27 %)
Bull20 %44.58 (+21 %)52.99 (+49 %)62.88 (+82 %)
Weighted100 %36.38 (-0 %)36.81 (+7 %)39.16 (+19 %)

What could make Link's base, bear and bull cases unfold?

The bear falls to HK$6,190 million in October 2027 and HK$5,905 million in October 2028. It reaches HK$5,594 million in October 2029 as renewals and refinancing overwhelm those offsets. The bull reaches HK$6,708 million first, then HK$6,993 million and HK$7,356 million, requiring leasing to improve faster than current guidance.

How much cash does Link really make?

Operating activities generated HK$8.5 billion in 2026, while interest and distributions used HK$1.8 billion and HK$6.2 billion. Investment-property additions were HK$1.9 billion. This is a useful pressure test, not a forecast, because investment spending and distribution timing vary.

What does an investor pay for Link today?

NAV is the estimated value left after liabilities. Link reported NAV of HK$57.75 per unit in March 2026, so the current price is 32.5% below it, or about 0.68 times NAV. The last full-year distribution of HK$2.5361 per unit produces a 6.5% trailing yield.

What an investor pays todayHK$ millions; per unit in HK$
Today (Oct 28, 2026)
Share price39.00
Market value (calculated)100,970.93
Price below net asset value per unit (calculated)32.5%
Distribution yield (calculated)6.5%

What this means. The price below net asset value per unit uses the trust’s older March figure, so it may not show what the trust owns and owes today.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Link Real Estate Investment Trust turns buildings and car parks into a stream of payments from tenants and motorists. To understand the business, follow a dollar from the space Link owns, through the rent it collects and the costs it pays, to the income it can distribute to investors.

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Where these numbers come from

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