Seagate Technology earnings
Seagate Technology's next results are expected on October 27, 2026. The thing to watch is whether Seagate Technology converts demand into reliable, profitable volume production and cash.
What has Seagate Technology guided for the quarter?
For the quarter ending in October 2026, Seagate guided to revenue of $4,000–4,200 million and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $7.10–7.50. Guidance is management’s forecast, not a guarantee; the useful benchmarks are the $4,100 million revenue midpoint and $7.30 earnings midpoint.
Non-GAAP earnings are adjusted accounting profit, not cash ready to spend. Seagate’s forecast excludes estimated share-based compensation of $0.26 per share, which pays employees with equity rather than ordinary wages. Its 50.0% operating-margin assumption means roughly half of sales would remain after operating costs, before interest and tax. Seagate would still need to buy equipment, repay debt and fund the timing gap between production and customer payment.
| Period guided | Low | High | Date given | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Quarter to Oct 2026 | 4,000 | 4,200 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Non-GAAP diluted EPS | Quarter to Oct 2026 | 7.10 | 7.50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| estimated share-based compensation expenses per share | Quarter to Oct 2026 | 0.26 | 0.26 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Operating Margin (non-GAAP) | Quarter to Oct 2026 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Jul 28, 2026 |
Has Seagate Technology kept its past promises?
Management nevertheless met an important timetable: it targeted the Mozaic 4+ volume ramp for the first half of 2026, and later reported that shipments began in the March quarter and increased in June.
How have Seagate Technology's revenue and profit trended?
The July 2026 quarter strengthened an established recovery rather than producing an isolated earnings spike. Revenue and operating income both accelerated, while gross margin rose sharply, showing that additional sales carried unusually high incremental profit.
The preceding four quarters support that reading: revenue increased in sequence and gross margin improved each quarter. The longer eight-quarter record is less smooth, so the current pattern shows momentum rather than the end of the storage cycle.
| Jul 2026 | Apr 2026 | Jan 2026 | Oct 2025 | Jun 2025 | Mar 2025 | Dec 2024 | Sep 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,629 | 3,112 | 2,825 | 2,629 | 2,444 | 2,160 | 2,325 | 2,168 |
| Gross margin | 52.3% | 46.5% | 41.6% | 39.4% | 37.4% | 35.2% | 34.9% | 32.9% |
| Operating income | 1,559 | 998 | 843 | 694 | 568 | 431 | 488 | 403 |
| Net income | 1,294 | 748 | 593 | 549 | 488 | 340 | 336 | 305 |
| EPS, diluted | 5.58 | 3.27 | 2.60 | 2.43 | 2.24 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.41 |
| = Free cash flow | 1,118 | 953 | 607 | 427 | 425 | 216 | 150 | 27 |