Research memoPower Corporation of Canada (POW.TO) · TSXMemo of October 15, 2026

Power earnings: guidance and what to watch

Power will report its next results on November 11, 2026. Watch whether Milliman integration spending stays within expectations.

November 11, 2026
Next results
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Every number traced to Power's filings8 chapters · 16,749 words161 sources cited

What has Power guided for its businesses?

Great-West, Power’s insurance subsidiary, supplies the clearest operating yardstick. It targets base earnings-per-share growth of 8.0%–10.0% and base return on equity of at least 19.0%. “Base” means an adjusted measure that excludes specified items, while return on equity compares profit with shareholders’ accounting capital.

Great-West also targets capital generation of at least 80.0% and a common-dividend payout of 45.0%–55.0% of base earnings. Capital generation measures regulatory capacity created after the insurance business absorbs the capital it needs; it is not cash immediately available to Power. IGM, Power’s investment-management subsidiary, targets 9.0% adjusted earnings-per-share growth over 2023–2028.

Targets and guidance in force
Period coveredLowHighDate given
Great West, Base EPS GrowthMedium term8.0%10.0%Sep 10, 2026
Great West, Base ROEMedium term19.0%Sep 10, 2026
Great West, Base Dividend Payout RatioMedium term45.0%55.0%Sep 10, 2026
Great West, Base Capital GenerationMedium term80.0%Sep 10, 2026
IGM, 5-Year Adjusted EPS CAGR2023–20289.0%Sep 10, 2026

Has Power kept its past promises?

Power has repeatedly promised to return capital and simplify the group. It reported more than C$10 billion returned through dividends and repurchases since 2020, including C$1.5 billion in the first half of 2026. O’Sullivan reaffirmed dividends and buybacks as priorities, but his own record began only in July. His test is value created per share after compensation and financing costs.

What is Power’s recent revenue and profit trend?

The first distinction is between Power’s view of recurring business performance and the final accounting result. Operating earnings improved in 2025 while net income declined, because net income also absorbs investment movements, disposals, impairments, taxes, and other items. The gap is therefore evidence about the business, not an error to ignore.

The last eight reported periodsC$ millions
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue15,1179,86012,04813,53812,35012,5308,64517,540
Operating earnings (company's measure)974905867863883787829693
Net income709840424716785702946384
EPS, diluted1.081.270.621.071.191.051.430.56
Book value per share37.7436.5236.3136.7435.9036.1035.5634.00

What this means. The company's reported revenue is not just money from sales; it also includes investment income and changes in investment values, so it can rise even when sales do not.

What should Power watchers look for next?

Investors should separate growth in the acquired operations from growth in Empower’s existing business and watch whether integration spending remains within expectations. A larger platform alone will not prove successful execution.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Power Corporation of Canada is a holding company: it owns major stakes in financial businesses rather than selling most services directly. Its dollar begins with a household, employer or institutional investor and reaches Power only after an operating company has served that customer, paid its costs and sent cash upward.

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