Research memoKinross Gold Corporation (K.TO) · TSXMemo of October 16, 2026

Kinross earnings: guidance and next results

Kinross’s next results are expected on October 28, 2026. Watch whether La Coipa’s recovery and Round Mountain’s mining rate improve.

October 28, 2026
Next results
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Every number traced to Kinross's filings8 chapters · 17,823 words150 sources cited

What has Kinross guided for 2026 and 2027?

On September 23, Kinross cut expected attributable production to 1.84–1.86 million gold-equivalent ounces in each of 2026 and 2027. Gold-equivalent ounces convert silver into an equivalent amount of gold using market prices. “Attributable” means Kinross counts only its ownership share, so it counts 70% of production from Manh Choh.

The revised 2026 production-cost range is $1,420–1,460 per ounce sold, while all-in sustaining cost is $1,850–1,900. The second measure includes spending needed to keep existing mines operating, so fewer saleable ounces spread those costs more thinly.

Guidance in forceUS$ millions; per-unit amounts as labelled
Period guidedLowHighDate given
Attributable production, gold (million Au eq. oz.), 2026Year to Dec 20261.841.86Sep 23, 2026
Attributable production, gold (million Au eq. oz.), 2027Year to Dec 20271.841.86Sep 23, 2026
Third-quarter attributable production, gold (Au eq. oz.)Quarter to Sep 2026425,000425,000Sep 23, 2026
Attributable production cost of sales (US$/Au eq. oz. sold)Year to Dec 20261,4201,460Sep 23, 2026
Attributable all-in sustaining cost (US$/Au eq. oz. sold)Year to Dec 20261,8501,900Sep 23, 2026
Return of capital target (% of free cash flow)Year to Dec 202650.0%50.0%Sep 23, 2026

Did Kinross keep its past cash-return promises?

Cash-return promises have stronger evidence. In July 2025, management targeted at least US$500 million of buybacks within at least US$650 million of shareholder returns. It ultimately delivered US$600.3 million of buybacks and US$752 million of total returns. In September 2026, the target rose from 40% to 50% of free cash flow, though the newer target remains a promise.

What is Kinross’s revenue and profit trend?

The sequential picture was less impressive. Revenue fell from $2,407.7 million in March to $2,238.1 million in June, and operating income declined from $1,338.1 million to $1,186.4 million. Net income stayed almost unchanged because taxes, financing and share count can steady earnings even when mine-level results weaken.

The last eight reported periodsUS$ millions
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue2,238.12,407.72,023.01,802.11,728.51,497.51,415.81,432.0
Gross margin57.5%59.9%61.2%50.9%51.9%44.2%38.6%45.1%
Operating income1,186.41,338.11,122.3810.1774.8570.4501.1547.7
Net income844.2843.0906.5584.9530.7368.0275.6355.3
EPS, diluted0.710.700.750.480.430.300.220.29

What this means. The figures are for individual three-month periods, even though some row descriptions say “year,” so each column shows one quarter rather than a full year.

What should I watch in Kinross’s next results?

Kinross’s next scheduled operating report is October 28, 2026, followed by a call on October 29. Third-quarter production should be compared with the 425,000-ounce guidance, but the explanations matter more: La Coipa’s recovery and Round Mountain’s mining rate could improve even if the company-wide total does not.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Kinross Gold is a Canadian mining company: it digs gold-bearing rock out of the ground, recovers metal, and sells it into wholesale markets. To understand how a dollar enters and leaves, follow it from rock to doré, from doré to bullion, and from bullion to the bills that keep mines alive.

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