Research memoIntercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) · NYSEMemo of October 16, 2026

ICE earnings: date, guidance and results

ICE's next results are expected on October 29, 2026. Watch cash after the new financing.

October 29, 2026
Next results
3,611
Revenue, quarter to Jun 2026 (US$ millions)
1.69
EPS, diluted, quarter to Jun 2026
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Every number traced to ICE's filings8 chapters · 17,647 words262 sources cited

What has ICE guided for the year?

ICE can deliver a moderate gain, but the price hinges on recurring growth, trading activity, mortgage execution, acquisition costs and debt reduction. Management expects high-single-digit recurring revenue growth in Exchanges and 7.0%–8.0% growth in Fixed Income and Data Services in 2026. Mortgage Technology guidance is low-to-mid-single-digit revenue growth. ICE guides to $5,140 million–$5,180 million of GAAP operating expenses and $4,190 million–$4,230 million adjusted. It plans a $2.08 annual dividend per share and $400 million quarterly baseline repurchases from the third quarter onward.

Revenue by quarter (US$ millions)3,033Sep 20243,030Dec 20243,229Mar 20253,262Jun 20253,007Sep 20253,142Dec 20253,666Mar 20263,611Jun 2026Revenue
Guidance in forceUS$ millions
Period guidedLowHighDate given
2026 Exchange Recurring Revenue (% growth)Year to Dec 2026Jul 30, 2026
2026 Fixed Income & Data Services Recurring Revenue (% growth)Year to Dec 20267.0%8.0%Jul 30, 2026
2026 Mortgage Technology Revenue (% growth)Year to Dec 2026Feb 5, 2026
2026 Operating Expenses (GAAP)Year to Dec 20265,1405,180Jul 30, 2026
2026 Operating Expenses (Non-GAAP)Year to Dec 20264,1904,230Jul 30, 2026
Annual total dividend (US$ per share)Year to Dec 20262.082.08Feb 5, 2026

What this means. The non-standard expense figures leave out some costs, so they are not directly comparable with the company's full-accounting figures.

Did ICE keep its past promises?

Finally, Black Knight expense savings reached an annualised US$230 million against an updated US$200 million target. That supports ICE’s execution record. But shareholders still must ask whether the savings, growth and compensation justify the capital invested and preserve customer service. ICE looks disciplined and capable; whether it is fully on shareholders’ side depends on that return, not on growth alone.

Stock pay and the share countUS$ millions
20252024202320222021
Stock pay238231257155188
Stock pay, % of free cash flow (calculated)6.1%6.0%8.4%5.0%7.0%
Share buybacks1,29400632250
Buybacks minus stock pay (calculated)1,056-231-25747762

What has ICE's recent revenue and profit trend been?

Gross revenue rose from $3,262 million to $3,611 million. That was 10.7% growth, while net revenue grew about 5%. Operating income rose from $1,297 million to $1,391 million. The difference between gross and net growth again shows the effect of pass-through costs.

The last eight quartersUS$ millions
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue3,6113,6663,1423,0073,2623,2293,0303,033
Operating income1,3911,6651,2371,1741,2971,2211,0771,103
Net income9581,413851816851797698657
EPS, diluted1.692.481.491.421.481.381.211.14
Cash from operations1,9981,3261,2759151,5069661,506898

What this means. The revenue numbers are higher than the company's headline net revenue because they include transaction-based expenses that the headline figure leaves out.

What should I watch in ICE's next results?

The next financial checkpoint is October 29, 2026, when ICE reports third-quarter results. The important evidence will include spending against guidance, cash after the new financing and the pace of repurchases. Earnings can improve even while cash falls if investment or shareholder payments accelerate.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Intercontinental Exchange, or ICE, runs marketplaces and sells the data, connections and software that keep financial and mortgage transactions moving. Its business earns money both when customers trade and when they keep using ICE’s information and systems.

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