Research memoHowmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) · NYSEMemo of October 16, 2026

Howmet Aerospace earnings: guidance and results

Howmet Aerospace's next results are expected on October 29, 2026. Howmet Aerospace's qualified shipments are the key thing to watch.

October 29, 2026
Next results
2,547
Revenue, quarter to Jun 2026 (US$ millions)
1.33
EPS, diluted, quarter to Jun 2026
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Every number traced to Howmet Aerospace's filings8 chapters · 16,785 words181 sources cited

What has Howmet Aerospace guided for 2026?

On August 6, management raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $10,000–$10,100 million and adjusted earnings per share to $5.23–$5.31. Revenue is what customers pay; adjusted EPS is the profit per share after management removes items it considers unusual or less representative of the underlying business.

Free cash flow is the more practical test. It is the cash left after running the business and buying equipment, and management expects $1,850–$1,950 million in 2026. That cash can fund debt repayment, dividends, buybacks and acquisitions after the factory program is paid for.

Revenue by quarter (US$ millions)1,835Sep 20241,891Dec 20241,942Mar 20252,053Jun 20252,089Sep 20252,168Dec 20252,313Mar 20262,547Jun 2026Revenue
Guidance in forceUS$ millions
Period guidedLowHighDate given
RevenueYear to Dec 202610,00010,100Aug 6, 2026
Adj. EBITDAYear to Dec 20263,2103,250Aug 6, 2026
Adj. EBITDA MarginYear to Dec 202632.1%32.2%Aug 6, 2026
Adj. Earnings per ShareYear to Dec 20265.235.31Aug 6, 2026
Free Cash FlowYear to Dec 20261,8501,950Aug 6, 2026
CapexYear to Dec 2026500530Aug 6, 2026

What this means. These are the company's forecasts for the full year, not results already achieved, and the low and high numbers show a range of possible outcomes.

Did Howmet Aerospace keep its past promises?

Management forecast free cash flow of US$1.025–1.125 billion. It delivered US$1.431 billion, a clear beat of that commitment. Long-term awards also use adjusted earnings per share and relative shareholder return, which compares share-price gains and dividends with those of peers. Strong results support confidence, but demanding targets still require judgment.

What do Howmet Aerospace's last eight quarters show?

Revenue, gross margin, operating income and diluted earnings per share all improved from a year earlier. The eight-quarter sequence matters because it shows margin progression over time rather than one isolated result. Commercial aircraft deliveries were 14% higher in the first half of 2026, supporting the aerospace recovery, while heavy-truck production remained under pressure.

The last eight quartersUS$ millions
Jun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue2,5472,3132,1682,0892,0531,9421,8911,835
Gross margin37.3%36.9%34.9%34.7%33.5%33.6%31.8%31.7%
Operating income711753489542521494445421
Net income534580372385407344314332
EPS, diluted1.331.440.920.951.000.840.770.81
= Free cash flow479359530423344134378162

What this means. The June 2026 cash from operations and capital spending figures are calculated by subtracting the March quarter from six-month totals, rather than being reported directly for that quarter.

What should I watch in Howmet Aerospace's next results?

The nearest checkpoint is October 29, 2026, when Howmet is scheduled to report third-quarter results. Investors should look for capacity utilization, qualified output, staffing and progress at the slowest production steps. They should also watch on-time delivery, scrap, rework and warranty costs, because high utilization is useful only if it produces acceptable parts on schedule.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Howmet Aerospace sells the specialized metal parts that make aircraft engines, power turbines, heavy trucks and airframes work. Its business is a chain: customers pay for qualified parts, Howmet pays for materials, people and factories, and what remains becomes cash for reinvestment or capital providers.

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