Research memoEcolab Inc. (ECL) · NYSEMemo of October 16, 2026

Ecolab dividend

Ecolab paid $737.1 million in dividends in 2025, against $1,904.3 million of free cash flow. Dividends and buybacks together absorbed 79.9% of free cash flow, leaving the rest for other uses.

2.58
Dividend paid per share, 2025
1.0%
Dividend yield
2.2%
Real free cash flow yield
2.4%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Ecolab's filings8 chapters · 17,561 words301 sources cited

How much does Ecolab pay per share?

The base case assumes the quarterly rate rises from $0.73 to $0.79, $0.85 and $0.92, producing payments per share of $3.89, $3.40 and $3.68 across the forecast windows. That is an 8% annual increase, below the latest 12% raise but consistent with Ecolab’s 34-year record of annual increases and $1.9 billion of 2025 free cash flow.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (US$ millions)1.904.6020212.033.4520222.115.3820232.275.8820242.586.202025Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share
What one share getsUS$ millions
20252024202320222021
EPS, diluted7.287.374.793.813.91
Free cash flow per share6.686.355.713.754.91
− Dividends paid, per share2.582.272.112.031.90
− Share buybacks, per share2.753.440.051.810.37
= FCF not paid out, per share1.290.593.512.58

What this means. Real free cash flow per share is lower because it subtracts the value of shares given to employees as pay.

Is Ecolab's dividend covered by its cash?

Ecolab generated more cash, but it could not use that cash for every attractive purpose at once. Free cash flow rose from $1,418.9 million in 2021 to $1,904.3 million in 2025, after capital spending on factories and equipment placed with customers. That capital spending itself rose from $643.0 million to $1,048.3 million, so the remainder was not simply surplus.

Dividends were the continuing commitment, reaching $737.1 million in 2025. Buybacks were the adjustable outlet: together, shareholder distributions absorbed 89.9% of free cash flow in 2024 and 79.9% in 2025. That choice benefits owners immediately, but it leaves less cash for acquisitions or debt repayment.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentUS$ millions
20252024202320222021
Free cash flow1,904.31,819.41,637.01,075.61,418.9
− Dividends paid737.1649.2603.8582.8549.4
− Share buybacks783.8986.513.7518.2106.6
= Free cash flow not paid out366.9168.61,006.0745.9
Paid out, % of free cash flow79.9%89.9%37.7%102.4%46.2%

Could Ecolab's dividend change?

The bear case freezes the rate at $0.73, giving $3.65 in the first window and $2.92 thereafter. The bull case assumes rates of $0.82, $0.93 and $1.05, giving $4.01, $3.72 and $4.20. The bull path needs cash generation to keep pace with CoolIT financing.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings2,520 (2,150 / 2,650)2,850 (2,200 / 3,150)3,200 (2,300 / 3,700)
Shares (millions)279 (281 / 278)279 (282 / 277)279 (283 / 276)
Dividends per share3.89 (3.65 / 4.01)3.40 (2.92 / 3.72)3.68 (2.92 / 4.20)
Price to earnings36.00 (28.00 / 40.00)35.00 (26.00 / 42.00)34.00 (24.00 / 44.00)

What is Ecolab's dividend yield against its price?

At $287.89 a share, shareholders value Ecolab at $80,703.8 million. Its trailing P/E, the share price divided by one year of earnings per share, is 38.6x: investors pay 38.6 times the latest annual earnings. The forward P/E is 35.3x because it uses expected earnings for the next twelve months. That lower figure already assumes growth, and a later move to 30x would cut the share price about 15% even if earnings met expectations.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Ecolab helps organizations keep water usable, workplaces clean and products safe. It earns that role through consumable chemistry, installed equipment, technical service and digital monitoring, then spends the resulting revenue on the people and materials that make those systems work.

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