Research memoAdmiral Group plc (ADM.L) · LSEMemo of October 18, 2026

Admiral dividend

Admiral targets a normal dividend of 65% of post-tax profit, with forecast dividends per share ranging from £0.90 to £2.00 across the bear and bull cases. Cash coverage is not a clean retail-style test: Admiral's capital needs, growth plans and insurance cash flows affect distributions.

4.2%
Dividend yield
0.0%
Buyback yield
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Every number traced to Admiral's filings8 chapters · 15,440 words141 sources cited

How much does Admiral pay per share?

Dividends follow Admiral's stated 65% ordinary payout policy. Base DPS rises from £1.43 to £1.52 and £1.60 as earnings recover. The bear case falls from £1.10 to £0.95 and £0.90; the bull case rises from £1.55 to £1.80 and £2.00. That spread reflects the company's uneven DPS record, which ranged from £0.734 to £1.587 in the supplied history.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; GBP millions, per share in GBP, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings839 (710 / 950)881 (660 / 1,050)925 (650 / 1,150)
Shares (millions)305 (308 / 304)305 (309 / 303)304 (309 / 301)
Dividends per share1.43 (1.10 / 1.55)1.52 (0.95 / 1.80)1.60 (0.90 / 2.00)
Price to earnings13.50 (10.50 / 16.00)13.00 (9.50 / 17.00)12.50 (9.00 / 18.00)

Does Admiral's cash cover its dividend?

The table shows that Admiral’s largest distributions included cash released by the Penguin sale. That rewarded shareholders immediately, but it left future expansion dependent on later profits or further asset sales. In 2025, Admiral kept only £30.2 million, compared with £281.8 million in 2024, so less of that year’s profit remained available to build the business.

Follow the money: what it earns and gives back£ millions; shares in millions
20252024202320222021
Net income745.6651.6
− Dividends paid on ordinary shares715.4369.8307.1658.3720.9
− Share buybacks00000
= Kept to grow and build capital30.2281.8
Paid out, % of earnings for common95.9%56.8%
Acquisitions082.5000

What this means. Blank profit figures for 2023 and earlier do not mean the company made no profit; those figures are left out because they include a business the company sold and cannot be compared fairly with the remaining business.

What could change Admiral's dividend?

Management targets a normal dividend of 65% of post-tax profit, subject to capital needs and growth. The announced buyback is capped at £45.0m through 31 December 2026.

H2 2026 is the first test: lower UK Motor reinsurance charges and rate increases should support profit. UK Motor claims costs were 7% higher year on year in Q2 2026. Flock’s £76.4m cash acquisition in May 2026 must turn commercial fleet growth into profitable policies. The internal capital-model application will test capital headroom and future distributions.

What is Admiral's dividend yield today?

Dividends and buybacks are two ways profit reaches shareholders. A dividend pays cash directly; a buyback uses company money to repurchase and cancel shares, leaving the remaining owners with a larger percentage of the business. In H1 2026, Admiral declared a 70.5p dividend and a £45 million buyback. Its solvency ratio was 190% after those payments, showing capital headroom but not removing risk.

What an investor pays today£ millions; per share in pence
Today (Oct 18, 2026)
Share price3,784.00
P/E, last 12 months (calculated)17.4x
P/E, next 12 months (calculated)13.9x
Price to book (calculated)7.7x
Dividend yield (calculated)4.2%

What this means. The next-year price-to-profit number uses analysts’ estimated profit, so it is not guaranteed.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Admiral Group is a UK-founded company that sells insurance and lends money, so its business begins with promises about future protection or repayments. To understand how money comes in and goes out, follow it from the customer, through premium or loan, to claims, costs, funding and profit.

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