Research memoTesco PLC (TSCO.L) · LSEMemo of October 10, 2026

Tesco dividend

Tesco pays a dividend per share that has increased each year in the supplied record, with the latest completed-year dividend at £0.145. Tesco generates substantial cash, but coverage depends on what remains after normal working capital, necessary investment and recurring obligations.

2.9%
Dividend yield
6.1%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to Tesco's filings8 chapters · 16,710 words169 sources cited

How much does Tesco pay per share over the years shown?

Dividends rise gradually in the base case, from £0.153 to £0.169 per share. The bear case holds at £0.145, matching the latest completed-year dividend. The bull case rises from £0.158 to £0.187. Tesco has increased its dividend each year in the supplied record and targets a progressive policy near 50% of adjusted EPS, while the newly declared interim is 5.05p.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (per share in pence)29.40Year to Feb 202228.51Year to Feb 202328.75Year to Feb 202425.30Year to Feb 202529.62Year to Feb 2026Free cash flow per share
Results£ millions; per share in pence
Year to Feb 2026Year to Feb 2025Year to Feb 2024Year to Feb 2023Year to Feb 2022
Revenue73,71269,91668,18765,322
Net income1,7871,6001,760659
EPS, diluted27.1023.1024.508.80
Dividend per share14.5013.7012.1010.9010.90

Does Tesco's cash cover its dividend?

The pattern matters more than any single year. Tesco repaid debt during the first four years, then raised a small amount of net debt in the latest year. Acquisitions absorbed little across the period, while exceptional money from the banking disposal supported an additional buyback of about £700 million.

That explains how distributions could exceed one year’s free cash flow without proving that Tesco financed the whole gap with new borrowing. The company could also use cash accumulated earlier or proceeds from selling a business. Debt repayment improved resilience, but recurring dividends and buybacks still need recurring cash after necessary reinvestment.

Where the cash went£ millions
Year to Feb 2026Year to Feb 2025Year to Feb 2024Year to Feb 2023Year to Feb 2022
Real free cash flow (after stock pay) (calculated)1,2881,2401,6181,8651,804
Dividends paid937864778859731
Shares bought back1,4431,016752781278
Acquisitions94617660
Debt raised minus debt repaid (calculated)116-302-93-608-360
Returned to shareholders, share of real free cash flow (calculated)184.8%151.6%94.6%87.9%55.9%

What could change Tesco's dividend?

Management guides to group adjusted operating profit of £3,150m–£3,300m and free cash flow of £1,500m–£2,000m for the year to February 2027. Capital expenditure of approximately £1,700m and a £950m buyback will compete with dividends and other uses of cash. Tesco also targets £500m of Save to Invest savings and a £500m Whoosh sales milestone; neither target is additional profit.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; GBP millions unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings2,192 (1,850 / 2,300)2,268 (1,802 / 2,472)2,336 (1,799 / 2,653)
Shares (millions)6,108 (6,140 / 6,093)5,946 (6,039 / 5,910)5,790 (5,935 / 5,743)
Dividends per share0.15 (0.14 / 0.16)0.16 (0.14 / 0.17)0.17 (0.14 / 0.19)
Price to earnings16.00 (13.00 / 18.00)15.50 (12.00 / 19.00)15.00 (11.00 / 20.00)

What is Tesco's dividend yield against its price?

Cash measures complete the picture. A 6.1% free-cash-flow yield compares cash generation with the share price, while a 2.9% dividend yield measures the cash dividend. But first-half free cash flow of £1.57 billion benefited from about £250 million of payroll timing, which was expected to reverse. The investor therefore needs repeatable operating cash after investment, interest, tax and leases.

From the full memo · 1. The business

Tesco PLC is a retailer built around everyday shopping, from a full supermarket trip to a quick local purchase. It earns money by moving a huge volume of goods and services through stores, websites and business relationships while keeping only a small part as operating profit.

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