Research memoHCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) · NYSEMemo of October 15, 2026

HCA dividend

HCA pays $0.78 per share each quarter, and its base case raises dividends from $3.30 to $3.78 per share. In 2025, $7,692 million of free cash flow covered $679 million of dividends, although total shareholder payouts exceeded free cash flow.

23.97
Dividend paid per share, 2025
0.7%
Dividend yield
7.2%
Real free cash flow yield
7.6%
Free cash flow yield
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Every number traced to HCA's filings8 chapters · 16,270 words189 sources cited

How much does HCA pay in dividends?

Dividends rise modestly in the base case, from $3.30 to $3.54 and then $3.78 per share. The latest quarterly rate is $0.78, while free cash flow was $7,692 million in 2025, supporting increases. The bear case holds the dividend at $3.12 before a small recovery; the bull case reaches $4.08. Recent dividend growth supports the base, but the 2020 suspension shows that severe pressure can interrupt it.

Dividend per share against free cash flow per share (US$ per share)29.49233.55202134.10197.70202234.84233.26202331.36239.95202423.97257.362025Dividends paid, per shareReal free cash flow per share
What one share getsUS$ per share
20252024202320222021
EPS, diluted28.3322.0018.9719.1521.16
Free cash flow per share271.51256.32247.07215.51254.35
− Dividends paid, per share23.9731.3634.8434.1029.49
− Share buybacks, per share355.35274.64200.90365.54388.23

Does HCA’s dividend come from free cash flow?

Free cash flow was $7,692 million, while repurchases cost $10,067 million and dividends cost $679 million. Distributions therefore exceeded free cash flow by roughly $3,054 million before acquisitions and minority distributions. Debt increased and cash fell, so the gap was a financing choice rather than a cash surplus.

Follow the money: where the free cash flow wentUS$ millions
20252024202320222021
Free cash flow7,6925,6394,6874,1275,382
− Dividends paid679690661653624
− Share buybacks10,0676,0423,8117,0008,215
= Paid out more than the free cash flow3,8811,8044254,5514,206
Paid out, % of free cash flow139.7%119.4%95.4%185.4%164.2%

What this means. The company paid shareholders more than the cash its business made, so it had to use savings or borrow money to cover the difference.

What could change HCA’s dividend?

The forecast would move toward the bear case if uninsured patients continued reducing margins through 2027, or if supplemental-payment approvals were delayed or capped in 2028 and 2029. Debt and construction spending that constrained buybacks would reinforce that move.

The forecast's tablebase case, then bear / bull in brackets; USD millions, per share in USD, unless shown
October 2027October 2028October 2029
Earnings6,883 (5,966 / 7,172)7,308 (5,998 / 7,740)7,726 (5,960 / 8,372)
Shares (millions)204 (211 / 200)191 (204 / 183)178 (197 / 166)
Dividends per share3.30 (3.12 / 3.36)3.54 (3.12 / 3.72)3.78 (3.24 / 4.08)
Price to earnings14.50 (12.50 / 16.50)14.00 (11.50 / 17.00)13.50 (10.50 / 17.50)

What is HCA’s dividend yield today?

At $469.91, HCA trades at 15.7 times trailing earnings. P/E, or price-to-earnings ratio, tells investors how many dollars they pay for each dollar of annual profit per share. Its 14.6 times forward P/E implies about $32.19 of earnings per share over the next twelve months, above the revised 2026 guidance of $28.70 to $30.50. Because that forward period reaches into 2027, the price assumes earnings recover beyond the weaker current-year outlook.

From the full memo · 1. The business

HCA Healthcare runs hospitals and related sites where people receive medical care. It sells access to the clinicians, rooms, equipment and treatment that turn a serious symptom into diagnosis, care and recovery, then collects from insurers, government programs and patients.

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